The Puerto Rico Open is a PGA event that is being played at the Coca Beach Golf Club (formally the Trump International) in Rio Grande, Puerto Rico.  As we all know this event is being played at the same time as the WGC Match Play which contains the top golfers in the World Golf Ranks, so the field will be very watered down in this event.  This makes the event difficult to bet due to the inconsistent golfers and limited matchup opportunities available.  Hopefully we can find a few plays to take advantage of.

Puerto Rico Open Predictions:

Scott Brown +100 vs. Graham DeLaet
Brown is in good form coming off of 4 straight events where he made all cuts, and he finished with 2 top 10’s in much more difficult fields then what is in store here at Puerto Rico.  He also has a very good course history where he has 3 previous top 10’s at this event including a win in 2013.  DeLaet is solid golfer who is in decent form, but he not a good putter by any means especially on this surface.  We will be taking a shot at a fade here at even odds.

Freddie Jacobsen -105 vs. Patrick Rodgers
Jacobsen has the game that fits at this course.  Although he has only played this event once he finished 14th that year.  He is also a very consistent golfer who plays well in the wind, which is expected to wreak some havoc on the course.  I was able to get this number at +110, so some of the value is gone.  Jump on the -105 as quick as you can, because I expect this number to continue to go up.  I would pass if this number goes up much higher.

Jonathan Byrd +100 vs. Derek Fathauer
Byrd is coming off of a 3rd place finish in his last event.   He also has a nice course history at Puerto Rico including two top 20 finishes the past 2 years.  Fathauer is coming off a nice finish as well, but he has not had good finishes in the past at this even.  Fading him at plus money is worth the play.

Dean Burmester -120 vs. Aaron Baddeley
Burmester is a really nice player from South Africa who has been playing great golf on the South African tour.  Although I would not call the South African tour the best of the best, neither is the Puerto Rico Open.  I look for Burmester to have a good tournament.  Baddeley is a bit of a wild card with his play.  He is a good putter, but he is very erratic with his ball striking.  The price of -120 for a golfer that most bettors will not know tells me that the books are hoping to attract money the other direction. Give me Burmester here.

Jerry Kelly -120 vs. Cameron Smith
Jerry Kelly is another golfer who has the game for this track.  He has good course history and is coming into this event playing some good golf.   Cameron Smith is a young Aussie who has some ability.  He has not been able to put it all together on the PGA Tour thus far.  I will take the consistency of Jerry Kelly and lay the -120.

Both the Match Play and the Puerto Rico are tough betting tournaments, so don’t blow all of your bankroll on these 2 tournaments especially with the Masters two weeks away.  Good luck!

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Brock Downs

    Brock has been betting golf successfully for the past 3 seasons. Through advanced statistics and metrics he has been finding matchups to take advantage of. Under the handle Doubledown23 has recently been posting plays and leans that are hitting at a crazy rate. Check out the results for yourself on the forums. You won’t be disappointed!

    Brock Downs has 11 posts and counting. See all posts by Brock Downs

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