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Best Home Run Prop Bets | Wednesday, April 17th

MLB baseballs for hitter prop picks

The 2024 MLB season has commenced, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Home runs have been flying so far this season, and we are continuing to pick winners. Let’s take a look at our best bets. Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Wednesday.

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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers

We have been on a heater with home run props, and we started off this week with another bang. We had Mike Trout to hit a home run on Monday, and Trout did not disappoint. That gives us five home run prop bets hits over the last 13 articles, which has us very much so in the green.

Let’s dive into the best home run prop bets to make today.

Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks

William Contreras (MIL) +400

William Contreras has two home runs in his last eight games, and we like him to get his third today against the Padres. Over his last eight games, Contreras has a 56% hard-hit rate, a 12% barrel rate, a .214 ISO, and a 191 wRC+.

Michael King has been no stranger to allowing the long ball this season. He has allowed six total home runs and four to right-handed hitters. In three at-bats against King, Contreras is 0-3, but he has a 51-degree launch angle and a 97.3 exit velocity.

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Christopher Morel (CHC) +400

Christopher Morel is 2-5 in his career against Brandon Pfaadt with a home run. In those five at-bats, Morel has a 90.8 exit velocity and a 37-degree launch angle. Morel has two home runs against right-handed pitchers this season, and Pfaadt has allowed two home runs to righties.

Brandon Pfaadt has done a better job pitching first-pitch strikes and not allowing hard contact, but Morel has a great opportunity today. Morel has a 57.9% hard-hit rate over his last eight games and a 10.5% barrel rate.

MLB Predictions, Picks and Best Bets Today | Drew's Daily Diamond | 4/17/24

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