The Auburn Tigers had to Baton Rouge, Louisiana to take on the LSU Tigers in this big SEC showdown. Auburn enters this contest with a record of 5-1, ranked 10th in the nation, while LSU is 4-2. Both of these teams are desperately in need of a victory as they each have a shot at Alabama later this season, and a chance to compete for the conference title.
Auburn enters this contest 2-2-2 against the spread this season but they are 6-3 in their last nine games on the road against the spread. In the last five matchups between these two teams, Auburn is 4-1 against the spread in those contests, and the outcome has been under in 12 of the last 17 outings between these two teams. However, it has been over in four of the last five in Louisiana. LSU is 1-5 against the spread this season including going 0-5 against the spread in their last five contests. The Tigers are 1-5 in their last six games at home against the spread, and are 1-4 in their last five games against Auburn. They have been under in four of their last six contests.
Tigers vs. Tigers
Spread: Auburn -7 (-110) Get the latest CFB odds direct from Las Vegas with WagerTalk Live Lines
Moneyline: Auburn -260; LSU +220
Totals: Over/Under 44.5 (-110)
The only hiccup for Auburn this season was a hard-fought 14-6 loss to Clemson in week two of the season. Otherwise, they have rolled over opponents, including beating Missouri, Mississippi State, and Ole Miss by a combined total of 144-47. This is an outstanding team.
The Tigers are led by a brutal running attack, which features Kerryon Johnson as the main running back. He has 504 yards rushing in just four games, with 12 touchdowns. The running back is an absolute beast to try to stop, and should have the opportunity to have a big game against LSU.
Jarrett Stidham is the quarterback for Auburn and has thrown for 1345 yards and seven touchdowns. Stidham is incredibly smart with the ball, completing 71.2 percent of his passes with just two interceptions in 139 attempts. No doubt he will be a big difference maker in this game.
While three players on this team have double digits in terms of receptions, Ryan Davis is the only one who puts up numbers that are noticeable. While he has 31 receptions the season, he is only 251 yards and three touchdowns. He’s an excellent tight end, but the cupboard is a bit bare after that.
The Auburn defense has recorded 15 sacks, four interceptions, and five fumble recoveries. Jeff Holland leads the team with four sacks, and nine different players have been involved in a sack this season. It’s not an incredibly tenacious defense in terms of numbers, but they play solid, fundamental football that keeps teams from moving the ball.
This was beginning to look like it was going to be a lost season for the LSU Tigers, especially after losing to Troy two weeks ago. However, they have rebounded, defeating Florida in Florida 17-6 last week and if they can beat Auburn and Alabama they would be the West Division team in the SEC title game.
LSU has a fine young quarterback and Danny Etling, who is thrown for 1046 yards and six touchdowns. Again, he doesn’t have particularly eye-popping numbers but has completed 60.2 percent of his passes with just one interception and 118 attempts. Neither of these quarterbacks is prone to make mistakes, so even one in this contest could be a huge difference maker.
Two different running backs will see ample time for the LSU Tigers. Derrius Guice leads the team with 364 yards, and Darrel Williams is second with 355. Both have scored five touchdowns apiece this season, and the to make a rather bruising combination behind Etling.
The LSU defense knows how to get after the quarterback, recording 20 sacks this season. Corey Thompson leads the defense in sacks with 4.0, but both Christian LaCouture and Greg Gilmore follow close behind with 3.5. In the secondary, Andraez Williams makes opposing quarterbacks regret throwing his way, recording three interceptions and 13 pass defenses so far this year.
Tigers vs. TigersBetting Lines
Baton Rouge is never an easy place to play, and it will not likely be so for the Auburn Tigers on Saturday. This should be a very close, hard-fought battle, and seven points are way too big a spread. LSU will cover the spread for sure, and may even when this contest. In fact, we predict they will. The under over is the big question mark. A total of 44.5 isn’t very much, but it would not be surprising to see this be a defensive struggle. For that reason were expecting it to be slightly under 44.5.
My Pick:LSU +7 (-110)
Totals:Under 44.5 (-110)