An AFC-NFC matchup takes place in the Georgia Dome on Sunday at 1 PM ET, as the Atlanta Falcons (-4, 50) host the Kansas City Chiefs. I am recommending a play on ATLANTA.
The Chiefs are coming off a come-from-behind upset win over the Broncos in Denver, 30-27 in overtime. Kansas City is in a very difficult spot here. Coming off that huge divisional win, the Chiefs have an even bigger game on deck against the Raiders for the AFC West lead. Ask Dallas how difficult these “division sandwich spots” are, as they barely escaped Minnesota with a win in the same scenario on Thursday night.
The Chiefs have been winning in spite of themselves. They were outgained by a whopping 191 yards in Denver. The week prior, they lost at home to Tampa Bay as a TD favorite. KC was outgained by 85 yards and had to rally from 17 points back to win in Carolina the week before that. And they were outgained by a massive 218 yards when they escaped with a 19-14 home win over lowly Jacksonville before that.
The Falcons are off a big 38-19 win over the Cardinals. Atlanta is playing very well, especially offensively. Atlanta’s weakness is pass defense, but the Chiefs lack the vertical passing attack to take advantage. The Falcons have a well-balanced, explosive offense that is tough to defend for teams like the Chiefs who are not familiar with them.
The Chiefs just seem to keep finding ways to win under head coach Andy Reid. KC is 19-4 SU in their last 23 games dating back to last season. The oddsmakers know that, yet they opened the Chiefs as ‘dogs of more than a FG. Looks to me like they’re trying to get bettors to grab KC. I’m not biting.
I expect Kansas City, off a big division win with a bigger division game on deck, to come out a little flat here. I recommend a play on ATLANTA.
Early Week 13 NFL Sunday Predictions is a play on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points.