The Spurs are seeking revenge for a 113-85 blowout loss in Denver. This has been an excellent UNDER spot, as San Antonio is 0-7 OU when they are off a double-digit home win and they are seeking same season revenge for a road loss, staying under by an average of 17.29 points per game.

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Game #1 NBA Odds

The current Vegas Odds have the Nuggets favored by 5.5 points over the Spurs with an over/under of 211. There has not been much  movement off the opener of 5 and  211.5  and as of this post the public is 51% on the Nuggets and 57% on the UNDER.

San Antonio has allowed an average of 93.3 ppg in this spot and the average OU line has been 219.6 points.

It is also worth mentioning that the Spurs are 0-7 OU (-10.79 ppg) off a home game in which Lamarcus Aldridge had a positive plus/minus.

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We expect a half-court game here. The Spurs get back on defense after attempting a shot rather than crash the offensive boards. We expect the Nuggets to play this game as well. Denver is 0-8 OU (-14.56 ppg) as a favorite with rest off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds – and this includes an overtime game that stayed UNDER.

Denver is also 0-10 OU (-14.62 ppg) after a game in which they scored fewer than ten fast break points and 0-10 OU (-10.55 ppg) since the All-Star break off a game as a favorite in which Jamal Murray had a plus/minus better than the team.

Spurs vs Nuggets Prediction for Saturday, April 13

Since late February, San Antonio has been an underdog only four times. They are 0-4 OU, staying under by an average of 18.38 ppg. we don’t think the Nuggets make it to triple digits here. Make the play the UNDER.

NBA Playoffs: Betting Tips and Handicapping Strategy

Sports Data Query Group

We also investigate the technical circumstances of each team and game, searching for meaningful historical trends utilizing the SDQL. How teams have performed under certain conditions in the past, such as; after a loss in which their star was no the high scorer, after a game in which their star point guard committed five-plus turnovers or after two straight games in which 60%-plus of their baskets were assisted, can portend future outcomes. In addition to selectively using these established, simple single-team and single-factor angles, we have discovered and continue to develop our own unique and complex team and league-wide sports handicapping systems for employment in our arsenal. SDQL Guru’s SYSTEMS are the most POWERFUL technical handicapping tools in the industry.

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