The Spurs are seeking revenge for a 113-85 blowout loss in Denver. This has been an excellent UNDER spot, as San Antonio is 0-7 OU when they are off a double-digit home win and they are seeking same season revenge for a road loss, staying under by an average of 17.29 points per game.
San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Game #1 NBA Odds
The current Vegas Odds have the Nuggets favored by 5.5 points over the Spurs with an over/under of 211. There has not been much movement off the opener of 5 and 211.5 and as of this post the public is 51% on the Nuggets and 57% on the UNDER.
San Antonio has allowed an average of 93.3 ppg in this spot and the average OU line has been 219.6 points.
It is also worth mentioning that the Spurs are 0-7 OU (-10.79 ppg) off a home game in which Lamarcus Aldridge had a positive plus/minus.
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We expect a half-court game here. The Spurs get back on defense after attempting a shot rather than crash the offensive boards. We expect the Nuggets to play this game as well. Denver is 0-8 OU (-14.56 ppg) as a favorite with rest off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds – and this includes an overtime game that stayed UNDER.
Denver is also 0-10 OU (-14.62 ppg) after a game in which they scored fewer than ten fast break points and 0-10 OU (-10.55 ppg) since the All-Star break off a game as a favorite in which Jamal Murray had a plus/minus better than the team.
Spurs vs Nuggets Prediction for Saturday, April 13
Since late February, San Antonio has been an underdog only four times. They are 0-4 OU, staying under by an average of 18.38 ppg. we don’t think the Nuggets make it to triple digits here. Make the play the UNDER.
NBA Playoffs: Betting Tips and Handicapping Strategy