Vasiliy Lomachenko vs Luke Campbell Predictions
All eyes turn to the English capital this weekend as the almost universally regarded number one boxer on the planet right now, Vasiliy Lomachenko, heads to London to take on an excellent fighter in Luke Campbell.
Tickets for this fight sold out in hours as the English public clamors to get a look at Lomachenko, the man who dubs himself “The Matrix”, considered by most right now to be P4P #1 swaggers into town to take on Britain’s number one lightweight.
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Our Boxing Breakdown Report has been posted (with a free 2% play) for this weekend’s fight between Vasiliy Lomachenko and Luke Campbell in the O2 Arena, London. Our main focus for this card, however, is on the undercard in a mouthwatering heavyweight clash between Hughie Fury and Alexander Povetkin in a fight we’ve identified some great value in. Join us on Saturday for our BOXING FIGHT OF THE WEEK play as we’ve been straight money in the ring this year, currently on a 5-0 run for +17% over just our last five cards in total so you definitely don’t want to miss out on this one!
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Odds for this fight place Lomachenko as a substantial -1400 favorite with Campbell coming back as a +800 underdog.
And even though Luke Campbell is an excellent boxer in his own right and a former Olympic gold medalist, the odds can somehow be justified for this fight as Lomachenko has run through some truly top-notch fighters over the past few years, barely even breaking a sweat in doing so.
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Bar the Orlando Salido loss in only his second pro fight a few years ago, a fight Salido came in way over the weight limit and continually connected with low blows throughout the fight also, Lomachenko has downright embarrassed opponents, such as former two-time Olympic gold medal winner and undefeated super-bantamweight champion Guillermo Rigondeaux two years ago. In that fight, Loma began by countering and evading the Cuban to such a degree he eventually quit at the end of the 6th round with a supposed hand fracture (later turned out under x-ray to be just a bruise). That was Lomachenko’s fourth straight stoppage win via retirement as most of the champions he faced found it incredibly hard to take being so thoroughly outclassed inside the ring and simply quit on their stool rather than go back out for another three minutes of punishment.
The fight following Rigondeaux was Lomachenko’s stiffest test to date in former unified lightweight champion Jorge Linares, in what was an excellent fight from start to finish. Lomachenko eventually got the better of Linares with a perfectly timed liver shot to take out the Venezuelan champion in the 10th round, but Linares had put Lomachenko down prior to that in the 6th and the fight at the time of the stoppage was scored dead even, with one judge having it for Lomachenko, one for Linares and one a draw.
The Linares knockdown proved Lomachenko to be human but no-one has been able to capitalize on that fact as the Ukrainian has since gone on to dominate Jose Pedraza and brutally stopped Campbell’s fellow countryman Anthony Crolla in his last fight with a textbook right hook to the temple.
However, Luke Campbell presents a different type of challenge to “The Matrix” then he’s faced in a number of fights. He’s at least two inches taller than the champion with an imposing six-inch reach advantage and a great trainer in Shane McGuigan. And he’s also technically far superior to what Lomachenko faced in his last fight against a durable, but limited opponent in Anthony Crolla.
Campbell’s fight against common foe Jorge Linares saw the Englishman go down early in the 2nd round of that fight, only to rally back in the mid-rounds and stage a mammoth comeback in the fight. The final verdict on the scorecards was a split-decision win for Linares, but many observers felt Campbell did enough to get the nod in that fight.
That tenacity and heart might well be required here on Saturday against a dominant champion in Vasiliy Lomachenko. While we expect Lomachenko to ultimately have too much for Campbell, we do however feel there is some value on the Over 8.5 rounds in this fight as Campbell is not only tough but very technically sound also. In front of his home fans, he should get plenty of support who’ll roar on his every success in the fight. What’s stopping us from making this a premium play, and likely what stops Campbell from winning the fight also, is the noticeable hand speed advantage Lomachenko possesses over Campbell. While Campbell is an excellent boxer, he definitely errs on the slow side and needs both time and positioning to get his shots off correctly. With that being said, however, 8.5 rounds is a little disrespectful on a fighter who arguably beat the guy who put Lomachenko down and a former Olympic gold medalist. Take the Over here on Saturday.
PLAY: OVER 8.5 ROUNDS (2% Play)
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