Free College Football Best Bet from Bryan Leonard: SMU Mustangs at South Florida Bulls

The SMU Mustangs square off against the South Florida Bulls on Saturday in Ryamond James Stadium.  This season, SMU has just a single win, against intrastate rival North Texas while the Bulls stand at an even 3-3, coming off a 28-20 win last weekend against Connecticut.  Conversely, SMU was on the wrong end of a 49-28 rout at the hands of the Houston Cougars.

The South Florida Bulls aim to win their third game in a row when the SMU Mustangs visit Tampa, Florida today..

Gameday Vitals
Southern Methodist Mustangs at South Florida Bulls (-13, 59)
Time: 4:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 24, 2015
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Weather:  Clear and warm in the sunshine state with kickoff temperatures expected to be in the mid-eighties. A slight breeze is forecast to be blowing from the East with little to no chance of precipitation.

Mustangs
SMU averages 424 yards of total offense and 31 points per game and have the luxury of coming off a bye week.  The Mustangs quarterback, Matt Davis, leads the team in rushing and scoring, and the team’s passing attack is fortified by wide receiver Courtland Sutton.  Davis, has been the spark offensively this season completing 11 passing touchdowns while adding seven more on the ground.

The Mustangs have been porous defensively this season. They rank last in the AAC and in the bottom 5 percent in most important FBS categories. Overall this SMU defense has allowed an average of 571 yards of offense per game to their opponents.

Bulls
South Florida hasn’t won three consecutive games in a row in a season since 2011. Coming off big wins over Syracuse and Connecticut the schools biggest game of the year is arguably today’s contest against the Mustangs. A win today will put USF in a position to meet their goal of qualifying for a bowl game for the first time in five years.

Outlook
These two teams have met twice, a series that began in 2013, and both games were low scoring affairs, with USF winning in 2014, 14-13, and the Mustangs winning in 2013, 16-6.

  • SMU 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games as a visitor but just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games on natural grass.
  • SFU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall but a mere 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 home games.

 

 

 

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