After an extremely disappointing 2016 campaign, Michigan State has bounced back with a vengeance this season, winning six of its first seven games. The Spartans are now traveling for the third time in four weeks and have a huge conference affair against Penn State on deck.
Michigan State arrives in town with a subpar offense that is averaging 22.7 points and 373 total yards per game at 5.1 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.2 yards per play to a mediocre attack.
With scoring being at a premium in this game, efficiency inside the 20-yard-line becomes imperative. Northwestern’s defense is 0.7 yards per play better than average (5.0 yards per play to teams that would combine to average 5.7 yards per play against a mediocre stop unit), giving them a significant 0.8 yards per play advantage from the line of scrimmage.
The importance of field position becomes amplified in games involving two elite defensive teams like Michigan State and Northwestern. The Spartans will struggle to achieve decent field position against the Wildcats’ 20th-ranked kickoff return coverage unit and 31st-ranked net punting unit.
On Saturday, Oskeim Sports #1 Football Betting Groupis featuring its ONE & ONLY Conference USA Game of the Month backed by a POWERFUL 88% (22-3 ATS) system! Oskeim is on a RED-HOT 65% Football Run and this MONSTER release grades out as a RARE GAME OF MONTH! Go get it.
Michigan State vs Northwestern Predictions: Finally, my math model actually favors Northwestern in this contest so we are getting excellent line value with the live home underdog. With Northwestern standing at 7-1 ATS in its last eight October affairs and 4-1 ATS in its last five conference tilts, grab the points with the Wildcats and invest with confidence.