NBA Finals Heat vs Lakers Game 1 Picks, Spread and Prediction (09-30-20)

The Los Angeles Lakers are facing the Miami Heat in the opening game of the 2020 NBA Finals. Both teams have been extremely effective this postseason and are coming into this series having a 12-3 record each. LA eliminated Portland, Houston and Denver with 4-1 wins each. Miami swept Indiana in the quarterfinals, then Milwaukee 4-1 in the semifinals and finally Boston 4-2 in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Date/Time: 09-30-2020, 21:00 EDT

Spread: Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 Total: +218

Lakers finished the regular season with a 52-19 record (36-34-1 ATS). They were first in the West. They have won eight of their last nine matches. In their last game they won Denver in Game 5, 11-107, eliminating them. They were a -5 favorite and managed to beat the odds.

Anthony Davis leads the team in scoring with 28.8 ppg, adding 9.3 rebounds per game. LeBron James adds 26.7 ppg and leads the team both in rebounding with 10.3 and in assists made with 8.9 per game.

Heat finished the regular season with a 44-28 record (36-35-2 ATS). They were 5th in the East. They have won two of their last three matches. In their last game they won Boston in Game 6, 125-113, eliminating them. They were a 3-point underdog but successfully covered the spread.

Goran Dragic leads the team in scoring with 20.9 ppg, adding 4.2 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game. Jimmy Butler adds 20.7 ppg, 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game.

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Lakers have won both meetings against the Heat this season.

At home by 15 points and on the road by 3.

They are third-best in the playoffs both offensively (113.9 to 112.2) and defensively (106.5 to 107.2).

Lakers are also first both in field goal percentage (49.8% to 45.9%) and in assists made (25.9 to 25.1) and grab more rebounds (43.7 to 42.9).

On the other hand, Heat are only better in turnovers committed (13.5 to 15.9).

Both teams have almost identical 3-point percentage (35.7% to 35.5%).

Bookmakers give the Lakers a -4.5 spread and expect them to beat the odds. They are better and more experienced than that Heat and they will not allow any surprises tonight.

NBA Finals Heat vs Lakers Game 1 Prediction: Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 (-112)

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