Key NFC South battle taking place in Florida on Sunday, as the 7-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the 5-7 New Orleans Saints. I am recommending a play on NEW ORLEANS +2.5 (+100).
This is the perfect “buy low, sell high” spot. We are “buying low” on New Orleans off a double-digit home loss to Detroit last Sunday. We are also “selling high” on Tampa Bay off four straight wins that have catapulted them into a first-place tie with Atlanta.
The Saints embarrassing home loss to the Lions last Sunday came on the heels of a 49-point outburst against the Rams the week prior. The Saints are now 0-3 this season when coming off a 40+ point performance. Time to bounce back against their division-leading rival, and the Saints know they can’t afford another loss if they want a chance at a playoff spot.
The Buccaneers’ four-game winning streak includes wins over the Chiefs in Kansas City, Seattle, and at San Diego. Not too shabby. That recent success leads them to being a small favorite over Drew Brees and company in this one. The chalk role is not a role that Tampa Bay handles very well, as they are just 2-7 SU and ATS in that role since the start of the 2014 season.
The Saints should not only be highly motivated off that embarrassing home loss, but they should also hold a bit of a psychological edge over the Bucs. After all, the Saints have won eight of the last nine meetings, including the last four at Raymond James Stadium.
I love backing top QBs who are off poor performances. Drew Brees is in that situation here, as he threw 3 interceptions and NO TD passes last Sunday. Brees will be on a major mission in this one.