NFC Sunday Free Pick: Seahawks vs 49ers

The San Francisco 49ers end their 2016 season the same way they started it — at home against a division rival.  The 49ers host the NFC West champion Seattle Seahawks on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

The 49ers and Seahawks met in Seattle way back in Week 3.  Seattle won that one 37-18, going way over the total of 42.  I expect a much lower score this time around.

Seattle’s offense has been notorious for disappearing on the road this season.  The Seahawks average a healthy 28.4 points per game at home, but that dips to a dismal 14.6 points per game on the road.  Seattle’s road games have produced an average of just 33.6 points this season.

Courtesy of Dwayne Bryant

The ‘Niners defense is awful, but they do play better at home.  San Francisco has allowed a whopping 33.8 points per game on the road, but that number shrinks to 26.4 points per game allowed at home.

This has been an Under series.  The last four in this series played by the bay have all gone Under.  The average total points scored in those four games was just 25!

Based on all of the above, today’s posted total looks way too high.  I recommend playing the UNDER.

NFC Sunday Free Pick is a play on UNDER the TOTAL

 

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