NFC Sunday Prediction and Preview: 49ers v Falcons

Two NFC franchises take to the comforts of the Georgia Dome on Sunday afternoon in Atlanta when the Falcons (-14, 50.5) host the 49ers. Game day kickoff is scheduled at 4:05 p.m. ET.

Courtesy of Dwayne Bryant

A non-division NFC clash takes place at 1:00 ET on Sunday in Atlanta, as the Falcons host the San Francisco 49ers.  The 49ers are off a 23-17 home loss to the Jets, which is their 12th straight loss since their Week 1 win over the Rams.  The Falcons are off a 42-14 beating of the Rams in which they led 42-0 in the third quarter.  I am recommending a play on the OVER.

The Over is a perfect 6-0 in Atlanta’s home games this season.  These games went Over the posted totals by an average of 12.5 points per contest.  There have been an average of 63 points scored in Falcons home games this season.  33.5 of those points belong to Atlanta.  They should be able to exceed that average against this pathetic 49ers defense, which is DEAD LAST in the NFL in points allowed per game (30.2) and yards allowed per game (415.3).

 


If you throw out the ‘Niners’ road game in Chicago from two weeks ago (adverse weather conditions), the Over is 4-1 in their other five road games.  Those five games went Over by an average of 12.7 points per contest.  The 49ers allowed 36.4 points in those games.

As long as Chip Kelly is leading the 49ers, they will play at a break-neck speed on offense.  That serves us well because: A) It leads to more offensive plays per game; and B) It exposes an already lousy defense by keeping them on the field for more-than-average plays.

The Falcons just might break 40 points again this week.  QB Matt Ryan will have no trouble spreading the ball around if WR Julio Jones can’t go.  There is also the very good possibility of Atlanta having a big fourth-quarter lead (they are a 2-TD favorite, after all), and giving up a garbage-time TD or two.  I’m expecting this game to end up around 58 total points.

NFC Sunday Prediction is a high scoring contest and a play OVER the TOTAL.

 

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