UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Preview and Prediction

In a week where there aren’t many marquee matchups outside of Auburn vs. Florida, this Friday night AAC clash between the UCF Knights and Cincinnati Bearcats may turn out to be one of the best games of the weekend. Can Luke Fickell’s squad gain revenge for last year’s debacle in Orlando?

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Event: (307) UCF Knights -3.5 at (308) Cincinnati Bearcats (o/u 60.5)
Date/Time: Friday, October 4 at 8:00 p.m. EDT

Cincinnati entered last year’s contest with a 9-1 record, but got embarrassed by the Knights 38-13. Bearcats quarterback Desmond Ritter finished the game 11-of-26 for only 127 passing yards. UCF is lighting up the scoreboard once again, but look at who those four victories have come against: Florida A&M, Florida Atlantic, UConn and a Stanford team that might struggle to win more than a single game in the Pac-12. In their only road test of the season, the Knights dropped a tight contest to Pitt.

The key to this game is whether or not UCF can jump out to an early lead. Cincinnati wants to run the ball and their run-pass ratio over the past two seasons is in the neighborhood of 2-to-1. But if UCF jumps out to a two-score lead like they did last season, that run-the-ball gameplan goes out the window. The longer that Cincinnati can stay within striking range, the longer they can stay within their comfort zone of running the ball and playing great defense.

A few trends, courtesy of The Gold Sheet:

  • UCF is 8-2 against the spread as a road favorite since 2016.
  • UCF has won and covered the last three meetings in this series.
  • UCF has scored 30+ points in each of their last 31 games.

WagerTalk TV Preview: UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats


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