College Football Win Totals are one of the most popular props for sharps and casual fans as well. This is to help you look back at how your favorite teams did last season as well show you a snapshot of how each team has done over the previous 5 seasons.
When looking over this data the teams that went “OVER” their Las Vegas win total are blue while the teams that went “under” are brown. Pushes were kept black while as asterisk means that the team did not play their scheduled number of games so therefore it is a no-play.
Just like most casual fans prefer to bet the favorite and “overs” the same holds true when betting win totals. The lines are adjusted as the Sportsbooks realize that fans prefer to bet on their favorite team to do well and rarely does a team go over their win total more than a few seasons in a row.
THE TEN TEAMS THAT WENT “OVER” THEIR WIN TOTAL AT LEAST THE LAST 3 YEARS…….
Of the 128 teams College Football teams ONLY TWO have gone “OVER” their projected win total MORE THAN 3 straight seasons.
WKU has gone over EACH of the last 5 seasons while the Ohio St Buckeyes are 4-0-1 meaning they have gone “OVER” 4 seasons and pushed one year. Teams that have gone “OVER” the L3Y:
Air Force, Alabama, California, Clemson, Memphis, Old Dominion, San Diego St and Utah.
THE TEN TEAMS THAT WENT “under” THEIR WIN TOTAL AT LEAST THE LAST 3 YEARS…….
There are also 10 teams that have gone “under” their projected win total at least the last 3 seasons. TWO have gone “under” their projected win total EACH OF THE LAST FIVE SEASONS.
Texas and Purdue are a perfect 5 for 5 if you played on them to go “under” their win total and you may be surprised that BOISE ST is 0-4-1 meaning that they have posted 4 “unders” and a push while New Mexico St is 0-3-2.
Teams with 4 straight “unders”: Kent St and ULL Teams with 3 straight “unders”: Ball St, Fresno St, and UCLA
Make sure to check out: Betting Football for Dummies by Johnny Detroit
SAY WHAT YOU FIRED YOU COACH!
What the fans and alumni want and expect is quite a bit different than a team’s expectations from a Las Vegas point of view! Here are some teams which fired their head coach despite going “OVER” their projected win total.
California – Sonny Dykes went 5-7 last year with a WT (win total) of 4. He went ‘OVER” each of his last 3 seasons by a combined 5 games.
Indiana – Kevin Wilson was let go for his demeanor but he did have 6 wins with a 4.5 WT.
Minnesota – Tracey Claeys was also let do for more than his win total (8 wins, 6 WT).
Coaches for the 2016 season
Georgia – Mark Richt and his school mutually agreed, a season when he pushed his WT.
Illinois – Tim Beckman was let go prior to the ‘15 season after going ‘OVER” in B2B years than Bill Cubit was replaced after getting 5 wins (3.5 WT). Miami – AL Golden’s UM has a WT of 5.5 in 2015 and he was let go after a 4-3 start (finished 8-5)
ALL WIN TOTALS ARE FOR REGULAR
SEASON ONLY. Conference Championships
& Bowl Games ARE NOT INCLUDED