Girona fought mightily in the first leg of the Copa del Rey quarter-finals in Madrid and actually did a good job. They did concede four times but their two goals will give them realistic hopes for the second leg in front of their fans. Real Madrid were not very careful in the first leg but they will need to be extra cautious on this one. They must not underestimate a Girona side who are really competitive and even eliminated Atletico Madrid in the previous round.
Date/Time: 1-31-2019, 15:30 EST
Spread: Girona +0.75
Total: 3 Goals
Girona were excellent in the first couple of months of the season but they have really fallen off in recent weeks. They are now without a win in their last ten matches, a span of almost two months. However, they have been really competitive in most of their matches and even shocked Atletico Madrid in the previous round of the competition. Girona are going through probably the hardest week of the season, as they are coming off a home loss against Barcelona after that loss in Madrid. And they will now have to face Real Madrid once again but at home, where they have proven to be quite the hard nut to crack. In the first leg in Madrid they did great to take an early lead and did even better to pull even at 2-2 in the second half, but conceded two more goals and fell by 2-4. Even so, they can now progress with a win by two goals, which is unlikely but not impossible.
On the other hand, Real Madrid were not very careful in the first leg at home and allowed their opponents to have valid hopes. They saw Girona take the lead at the 7th minute but had already overturned that before the first half was over. Girona did pull even at the 66th minute but Ramos and Benzema each scored just three minutes apart to eventually win by 2-4. They must now be really careful on the road, where they have kept just four clean sheets in 16 matches in all competitions so far in the season. That also happened in their match this past weekend against Espanyol, where they blasted them by 4-2. Moreover, Real Madrid have scored at least twice in four of their last six away matches in all competitions.
The two teams met for the first time in the season back in August, where Girona took the lead but Real Madrid destroyed them by 4-1. That makes it two in a row that Girona have scored the first goal against Real Madrid and they will be looking to make it three in a row.
All previous four matches between the two sides features goals from both and at least Over 2.5 Goals. I believe that the hosts will score a goal and put some pressure on Real Madrid but I am not sure if they can eventually qualify. I can’t rule it out though, and I feel that they will make Real Madrid work for it. I will take the home team to cover the spread on this one.
Copa del Rey Girona vs Real Madrid Prediction: Girona +0.75 (-114)