Euroleague Semifinal Real Madrid vs CSKA Moscow Spread and Prediction

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May 14, 2018 - 0 comments

In the second semifinal of the Euroleague Basketball Final Four, the Russian champions and top-seeded CSKA Moscow (24-6) are hosting the fifth-seeded Real Madrid (19-11) with both teams participating in the Final Four for a second straight season. The game takes place at the Star Arena in the city of Belgrade, Serbia on Friday, May 18th 2018.  Euroleague Semifinal Real Madrid vs CSKA Moscow Spread and Prediction.

Date/Time: 05-18-2018, 15:00 EDT

Spread: CSKA Moscow -3.5

Total: +170.5

CSKA Moscow finished the regular season with a 24-5 record, they were placed first in the league and in the quarterfinals they eliminated Khimki Moscow with 3-1 wins, with all games being decided by seven points or less. They have won four of their last five matches and in their last game they won on the road and eliminated Khimki with an 88-89 score. They are led in scoring by Nando De Colo with 16.9 ppg, adding 3.9 assists per game but he questionable for today. He is followed by Cory Higgins with 14.2 ppg, while Sergio Rodriguez adds 14.1 ppg and a team high 5 assists per game.

Real Madrid finished the regular season with a 19-11 record.  Madrid eliminated Panathinaikos in the quarterfinals with a 3-1 series victory without having home court advantage. They have won six of their last seven matches. In addition won their last game on home court eliminating Panathinaikos by an 89-82 score. They are led in scoring by Luka Doncic with 16.1 ppg, adding 4.8 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game. He is followed by Sergio Llull with 9.5 ppg and a team high 5.5 assists per game, while Jaycee Carroll adds 9.4 ppg.

In their two previous meetings earlier this season each team has won at home (CSKA Moscow by 6 points and Real Madrid by 13). In last season’s Euroleague semifinal, CSKA Moscow eliminated Real with a 70-94 score. Those two teams have the best offenses in the league, with CSKA being first with 89.2 ppg and Real being second with 85.7.

Both teams have almost identical defenses, allowing 80.2 and 80.4 ppg. CSKA have the best field goal percentage in the league, shooting with 50.9% to Real’s 48% and the third-best in 3-pointers, shooting with 41.7% to Real’s 37.4%. Real Madrid on the other hand are better both in rebounding (32.6 to 30.1) and in assists made (19.4 to 17.8). CSKA have struggled against Khimki in the quarterfinals and Vegas odds give them a -3.5 spread but don’t expect them to beat the odds as Real Madrid have been playing much better lately and they will get away with the win today.

Real Madrid vs CSKA Moscow Prediction: Real Madrid +3.5 (-109)

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Euroleague Semifinal Real Madrid vs CSKA Moscow Spread and Prediction
Nikos Lagouretos

Nikos Lagouretos

My name is Nikos Lagouretos, I am 35 years old from Greece and I have been a basketball enthusiast for almost 25 years, having played semi-pro myself. All those years i have seen countless games, done a ton of reading and statistical analysis and I thought it was about time to put them to some good use.I provide analysis, predictions and specialize in NBA, WNBA and almost every domestic and international club league of Europe.
Nikos Lagouretos