Eurobasket Qualifiers Italy vs Russia Picks, Spread and Prediction

Two squads coming off two straight victories face off in the 4th round of the 2022 Eurobasket Qualifiers, when Russia (2-1), are hosting Italy (2-0). The hosts are coming off an easy road win in the previous round of this part of the qualifiers. On the other hand, the guests did not play their third round matchup because of their opponents’ inability to participate.

Date/Time: 11-30-2020, 09:00 EDT

Spread: Russia +2 Total: +149

Russia have a 2-1 record and are sitting in the first place of Group B. They have back-to-back wins and in their last game they won Estonia on the road, 56-84. They were a 9.5-point favorite and managed to cover the spread easily.

Dmitrii Kulagin leads the team both in scoring with 16 ppg and in assists made with 7.5 per game.

Italy have a 2-0 record and are tied with Estonia in the second place. In their last game they won Estonia on the road, 81-87. They were a 5-point favorite and barely beat the odds.

Giampaolo Riccu leads the team both in scoring with 18.5 ppg and in rebounding with 5.5 per game.

In their previous meeting in the first round of the qualifiers, Italy won easily at home by 29 points.

Italy leads Russia 8-4 in all competitions.

Russia are 1-0 at home, while Italy are 1-0 on the road.

Italy are better offensively (85 to 75 ppg), while Russia are better defensively (68.7 to 72.5 ppg).

Italy have better percentages both in field goals (53% to 41%) and in 3-pointers (44.2% to 42.2%).

They are better both in assists made (20 to 19) and in rebounding (36 to 33).

On the other hand, Russia are better in turnovers committed (11 to 18).

Bookmakers give Italy a -2 spread and expect them to beat the odds. This will be their first game in this section of the tournament and they will be well-rested, while Russia have played on the road two days ago.

Italy vs Russia Prediction: Italy -2 (-108)