Italian Lega A Pesaro vs Virtus Bologna Picks, Spread and Prediction

Two teams tied in the fourth place of the Italian Basketball League (Lega Basket Serie A) are clashing in the 8th round of action. Segafredo Virtus Bologna (4-3), are hosting Scavolini Pesaro (4-3). The hosts are looking to bounce back after their latest defeat, while the guests are coming in hot, having lost only once in their last 5 games.

Date/Time:  11-14-2020, 14:00 EDT

Spread: Virtus Bologna -11.5 Total: +155.5

Bologna have a 4-3 record and are tied with Pesaro and Sassari in the 4th place. In their last game they saw a two-game winning streak end. They lost at home by Brinsidi, 88-98. They were a 5.5-point favorite but failed to beat the odds.

Milos Teodosic leads the team both in scoring with 15.7 ppg and in assists made with 6.4 per game.

Pesaro also have a 4-3 record and are tied in the fourth place. They have won four of their last five matches. In their last game they won Varese at home, 85-78. They were a 4-point favorite and managed to cover the spread.

Frantz Massenat leads the team in scoring with 14.4 ppg.

Bologna won both meetings against Pesaro last season.

At home by 17 points and on the road by 15.

They are have won all of their last 11 home meetings and last time they lost at home was back in the 2007/8 season.

Bologna have a 1-3 home record, while Pesaro are 2-1 on the road.

Bologna are better offensively (82.9 to 81.1), while Pesaro are better defensively (78.4 to 79.4).

Bologna have a better field goal percentage (48.3% to 44.4%), while both teams have almost identical 3-point percentage (33.6% to 33.5%).

Pesaro are second-best in rebounding (35.4 to 32.6) and commit fewer turnovers (10.6 to 13.7).

On the other hand, Bologna lead the league in assists made with 20.4 to Pesaro’s second-worse of 14.3.

Bookmakers give Virtus Bologna a -11.5 spread but don’t expect them to beat the odds. They have been surprisingly weak at home so far but still the favorite for the win. Expect the hosts to force a closer game than 12 points though.

Pesaro vs Virtus Bologna Prediction: Pesaro +11.5 (-112)