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Most of us fantasy football players have made a pick or two that we regret. It is especially frustrating when one of our top draft picks busts out or gets injured. There’s not much that fantasy GMs can do to avoid injuries but we might be able to do something about drafting busts. Just because a player excelled last season doesn’t mean that they will repeat that performance this year. Of course, the same can be said about players that did poorly last year.
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You need to find the guys that will get you the most points on a consistent basis. There are players out there that put up a lot of points last season but some of those guys had a handful of great games in which they racked up most of their points. You want players that are going to contribute on an ongoing basis. Here are a few players that you may want to avoid blowing a high draft pick on.
Kirk Cousins has been a consistent scorer for fantasy GMs over the past couple of years and he figures to be one of the top targets this year. He’s going to put up his share of points again this year but he isn’t going to have the same level of success as he did last year. His two favorite targets, DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon are gone. Those two combined for over 2,000 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns. The Redskins welcome Terrelle Pryor into the mix while Jamison Crowder looks to take the next step. Pro-Bowl tight end Jordan Reed and the aging Vernon Davis should see their share of targets too. Look for Cousins to finish outside of the top 15 quarterbacks as the quality of his receiving core has dropped.
Yes, this guy is really good and he will be one of the top choices after the likes of Rodgers, Brees, Brady, and Luck have come off the board. Unlike the top guys, Wilson is a little inconsistent when it comes to putting up points. He topped the 20-point plateau just 6 times last season while putting up single digits 3 times. He will be lucky to finish among the top 15 this year.
Eddie Lacy didn’t really get it going last year before he was lost to injury. He’s a big guy that can make big plays but he’s only rushed for 1,118 and 3 touchdowns over his past 20 games. While he will start the season as the number one running back in Seattle, the Seahawks are pretty deep at the running back position so there’s no guarantee that he’ll remain the number one guy. There are many other options that will get you more points.
The Saints’ running back had a pretty good 2016 season finishing 10th in fantasy points among running backs. Before you pick him you need to keep in mind that the arrival of Adrian Peterson will impact Ingram’s workload immensely. Of course, we’re assuming that Peterson will stay healthy.
Gurley is entering his 3rd season and he will almost certainly be getting a lot of looks from fantasy GMs. He had a pretty good rookie campaign in which he racked up 1,106 yards and 10 TDs in just 13 games but he took a step back last year with 885 rushing yards and 6 scores in 16 games. He averaged just 3.2 yards per carry. He might be a good depth player on your team but don’t expect too many 20-point games out of him. He only reached that mark once last year.
This Broncos wideout has been a steady producer for a few years but he took a bit of a dip last season finishing 19th in fantasy points among wide receivers. Having a bad quarterback didn’t help matters and it will not get any better this year. He went up against some pretty soft defenses in 2016 but the schedule is a lot tougher in 2017.
Baldwin managed to finish 10th among wide receivers last year with 159.6 points. That will make him a fairly appealing option for a lot of fantasy GMs. Just consider that he put up about 100 of those points in 5 games including a 23.70-point game in week 16. He failed to crack the 10-point mark in the other 11 games.
Matthews had the 14th highest fantasy points total among wideouts last year. He was Marcus Mariota’s most targeted receiver. Matthews was targeted 108 times and he reeled in 60.2% of those passes for a total of 945 yards and 9 touchdowns. It’ll be a bit different this year as Mariota has a few more talented receivers to throw to like the newly drafted Corey Davis and Eric Decker which will cut into Rishard’s production.
With a deeper receiving core and the emergence of Hunter Henry, the aging Gates’ likely won’t be seeing as many targets this year although he should still be good for a few yards and a couple of TDs. He cannot be relied on to for consistent production.
Ertz was targeted 106 times last year and caught 78 of those passes for 816 yards and 4 touchdowns. He finished 8th in fantasy points among tight ends which might lead you to believe that he can be a steady point-getter this year. Be careful. With Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith infused into the lineup to support Jordan Matthews, look for Ertz’s production to drop. Also, remember that Ertz broke the 10-point plateau just twice last year if you exclude the 25.90 points he busted out for in week 17 when it didn’t matter to fantasy players.
Witten has caught a lot of passes, scored his share of touchdowns, and been generally good to fantasy GMs that have had him on their rosters. He was targeted 96 times last year and he snagged 69 of them on his way to 673 yards and 3 touchdowns. He cracked the 8-point mark just once last season. Don’t rely on Witten to be any more than a bench player on your fantasy team.