Are you ready for some football? If you are, then you are probably preparing for another great season of fantasy football, and it seems that every year there are players who greatly underachieve, leaving some fantasy owners weeping each Sunday they put them in the lineup. Fantasy football is one of the most enjoyable parts of the NFL season, but choosing the wrong player early in the draft can be a soul crusher for your squad. If you are looking to avoid getting stuck with an underperformer, here are ten fantasy first rounders that are likely to let you down.
Ten Players With Fantasy Football Bust Potential in 2018-19
Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders, QB – It wasn’t very long ago that the Oakland Raiders quarterback was considered one of the elite fantasy quarterbacks. Derek Carr put up huge numbers in 2015 and 2016, but 2017 was an entirely different story. He threw for more than 400 yards fewer than his 2016 and 2015 numbers, tied a career high with 13 interceptions and threw for just 22 touchdowns. Plus, his 86.4 quarterback rating was his lowest since his rookie season. Definitely not a first-round quarterback choice.
Derrick Henry, Tennesse Titans, RB – Many were starting to believe the Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry was a sleeper that could be a dramatic impact player on the 2017 fantasy season. After rushing for 490 yards on 110 attempts, a 4.5 yards per carry average in 2016, Henry took a dramatic step backwards, carrying the ball for only 744 yards and a 4.2 yards per carry average in 2017. Plus, he scored five touchdowns once again. There are clearly better backs to look at before wasting a selection on Henry.
Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers, RB – After what appeared to be a breakout and to the 2016 season, Ty Montgomery took a huge step back in 2017 for the Green Bay Packers. He only appeared in eight games because of injury, starting five, and averaged 3.8 yards per carry, a 2.1 yards per carry drop from the previous season. His durability became a question mark and the loss of Aaron Rogers put additional weight on the shoulders of Montgomery, who was unable to deliver. Look for him to see a diminished role with the Packers this season.
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys, QB – Following his rookie campaign, Dak Prescott was the toast of the NFL. In 2016 he completed 67.8% of his passes for 23 touchdowns in just four interceptions. In 2017 he regressed greatly, completing just 62.9% of his passes for 22 touchdowns while throwing 13 picks. The loss of Dez Bryant and Jason Witten, his two favorite targets, should make the regression continue in 2018.
Christian McCaffrey, Carolina Panthers, RB – Christian McCaffrey had a brilliant career at Stanford, and much was expected out of him by the Carolina Panthers. However, he produced just 435 yards on the ground, averaging 3.7 yards per carry. He did record 651 yards receiving with five touchdowns, but a 1,100 yard total for a number one back is not a wise investment.
Jimmy Garoppolo, San Francisco 49ers, QB – After being acquired from New England, Jimmy Garoppolo put up big numbers for the 49ers, throwing for 1560 yards and five starts seven touchdowns. Truly, those are solid numbers, but not spectacular. Add to it that he threw five interceptions and it is easy to see why you should not jump on the Garoppolo train. Teams were just learning about his skill set in 2017, but they have had a whole off-season to prep for him, so he will likely finish with 20 touchdowns and 3000 yards passing, not first-round material.
Will Fuller, Houston Texans, WR – No offense to Will Fuller. An injury limited him to just 10 games in 2017, but he did average 15.1 yards per carry and had seven touchdowns on 28 receptions. Those are solid, but not spectacular numbers. Fuller would be a good addition to your wide receiving core, but not in the first round.
Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans, QB – Deshaun Watson was looking like he was going to be the Savior in Houston last season until an injury sidelined him. In six games, Watson threw for 1699 yards and 19 touchdowns. That touchdown number is absolutely remarkable for a rookie, but he was sidelined for much of the year and he did throw eight interceptions. He’s a great backup quarterback for you to choose from but look to one of the elites in the meantime.
Demaryius Thomas, Denver Broncos, WR – There is no doubt that Demaryius Thomas is an elite wide receiver in the National Football League, but until the quarterback position becomes more stable in Denver, he is simply not a wise investment. His numbers have slowly declined over the last four seasons, going from 1619 yards in 2014 to 949 last season. Those numbers should continue to decline, making him a better sixth or seventh round pick.
Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons, RB – Devonta Freeman was all the rage in fantasyland in 2015 and 2016, but his numbers took a dramatic drop in 2017, rushing for 865 yards and seven touchdowns while adding 317 receiving yards and one score. All of those numbers were a decline from the previous two seasons, and his health is a big issue. The former Florida State star may be burning out.