Oklahoma Sooners vs LSU Tigers Predictions, Picks and Odds

Updated Bowls Odds: LSU -13.5 /76

Peach Bowl Predictions and Preview

Oklahoma Sooners vs LSU Tigers Peach Bowl Picks, Odds, and Preview: Direct from Las Vegas, the WagerTalk handicapping crew look at the Vegas odds and give their College Football Bowl Game expert picks and predictions on the LSU vs Oklahoma matchup in the Chic-Fil-A Peach Bowl Playoff semifinal on Saturday, December 28, 2019, at 4:00 pm EDT from the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.

Opening Odds: LSU -10 (77)
Current Odds: LSU -13.5 (76)

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OKLAHOMA (12-1) vs. LSU (13-0)

Saturday, December 28 Night at Atlanta, Georgia (Dome; Artificial Turf)

LSU 45 – Oklahoma 26–Fourth-ranked Oklahoma is playing in its 4th CFP game, having lost to Clemson (17-37), Georgia (48-54 in double-OT) & Alabama (45-34) in 2015, 2017 & 2108, respectively. LSU, which won the BCS championship in 2003 (21-14 over these Sooners) & 2007 (beat Ohio State 38-24) is making its first appearance in the CPS after failing to knock off the Tide since the 2011 reg. season, and dominated Georgia in the SEC title game. The 12-1 Sooners’ only setback came in shocking 48-41 upset loss at Kansas State in late October. OU, which had a number of close calls along the way, did finish the campaign with back-to-back wins over nationally-ranked foes Oklahoma State & Baylor (in OT) in the Big 12 title game. Under fiery AP Coach of the Year Ed Orgeron, undefeated LSU—which knocked off five Top 10 teams—won by 14 or more in 11 of 13 victories, only failing by allowing Texas & ‘Bama to score a flurry of points when the game had been decided to stay within DDs.

OU’s high-octane O (43.5 ppg; 554 ypg; 2nd nationally) was marvelously orchestrated by Alabama transfer QB Jalen Hurts (72%, 32 TDP, 7 ints., team-high 1255 YR & 18 TDs), who’s blessed with an explosive arsenal, spearheaded by RB Kennedy Brooks (976 YR, 6.7 ypc) & elite WR duo of All-American CeeDee Lamb (58 grabs for 21 yd. avg.; 14 TDs) & Charleston Rambo (42 & 5 scores). Hurts, who’s an eye-popping 38-3 as a starter, engineered several come-back victories in 2019, including an amazing 34-31 win at Baylor in mid-November, when his team trailed 28-3 in the 2nd Q. The Sooner D (33 ppg & 130th in pass D LY! 24.5 ppg & 25th TY)—highlighted by second-team All-American LB Kenneth Murray (220 tackles L2Y, 4 sacks TY)—improved dramatically under new d.c. Alex Grinch, despite forcing just 9 TOs. But unit is now down two key starters! Top pass rusher soph DE Ronnie Perkins (6 sacks) has been suspended and soph SS Delarrin Turner Yell (2nd leading tackler with 75 stops) is out due to a broken collarbone.

LSU’s unstoppable attack (47.8 ppg; nation-leading 554.4 ypg) hardly resembled the past run-heavy, predictable Tigers offenses, thanks to o.c. Steve Ensminger & passing game coordinator Joe Brady (he’s about to become the nation’s top-paid assistant), who was imported from the NFL Saints and implemented a wide-open O. Heisman Trophy winner & record-breaking QB Joe Burrow (Ohio State transfer; 77.9%; 4715 YP, 48 TDP, 5 ints.), who put up video game numbers all year long, is well-supported by valuable & versatile RB Clyde Edwards-Helarie (1290 YR, 6.5 ypc & 16 TDs; 50 catches; hamstring pull; check status) along with an NFL-caliber trio of WRs, Ja’Marr Chase (73 grabs & 18 TDs), Justin Jefferson (88 & 14) & Terrace Marshall Jr. (37 & 10). The Dave Aranda-guided Tiger D (21.2 ppg, 3.7 ypc;10th in pass efficiency D), which floundered at times and took some criticism in several games, stepped up big time in the last two (after Ohio State leapfrogged LSU in the CFP rankings for being a more “complete team” according to the committee), limiting Texas A&M & Georgia to a combined 454 yards & 17 points in the last two games.

Sure, Jalen Hurts went 2-0 vs. LSU as the Bama signal-caller and HC Lincoln Riley (3-1 as rare underdog), a first-rate play-caller, has prepared for the CFP L2Ys. But the LSU D has seen its share of mobile, swift QBs . And Hurts did have 5 TOs vs. Baylor, which fielded the best D he faced in the reg.-season. And now Hurts is facing arguably the premier secondary in the country, spearheaded by a couple of All-Americans, now-healthy jr. SS Grant Delpit, who’ll help “spy” on Hurts designed runs, and frosh phenom CB Derek Stingley (Ed O said he’s the finest CB he’s ever been around), who’s likely to shadow scintillating WR Lamb. Since none of the physical SEC defenses had the kryptonite for Burrow’s extraordinary arm, elusiveness in the pocket and prowess for hitting the open receiver in stride, we feel money-making LSU (11-4 last 15 on board) rises to 14-0 in a convincing DD triumph and advances to nearby New Orleans for the title game.