Oklahoma and TCU meet in what could be a preview of the upcoming Big 12 championship game Saturday night in Norman (8 pm ET, Fox). And while the Sooners are favored by a touchdown, these teams have played several close games over recent meetings.

The Line

Most of this week’s CFB betting market opened this game with Oklahoma favored by seven points, the total offered at right around 62. As of late Friday most shops had dropped the line to 6.5.

TCU could be found getting +210 to win this game outright at Stations.

The Lowdown

Following its loss at Iowa State two weeks ago TCU proved a solid bounce-back play last week, beating Texas 24-7, covering at -7. The Frogs hopped out to a 17-0 second-quarter lead and held on from there for the win and the money.

TCU outgained the Longhorns 343-263 and won the ground battle by a margin of 177-9. So the Frogs have now outrushed every opponent this season by a per-game average of 193-70.

Oklahoma also lost to Iowa State a while back, but is 4-0 since, following its 62-52 Bedlam victory over Oklahoma State last week. The Sooners, as one-point underdogs, trailed early in that game, later led by two scores, but ultimately broke a 38-38 tie with a 10-0 run and iced the win on a late touchdown.

On the day OU piled up 785 yards of offense and held a 36/24 advantage in time-of-possession. But the Sooners defense allowed 661 yards, 213 on the ground and 448 through the air.

Still, Oklahoma has now outgained each of its nine opponents this season.

Big-picture, at 5-1 in conference play these two teams are tied for the lead in the Big 12. They’re also both still in the running for a spot in the College Football Playoff. And they could meet again a few weeks from now in the revamped Big 12 championship game.

The Rivalry

The Sooners are 4-1 in this series since the Frogs became members of the Big 12 back in 2012. But TCU, playing as a dog every time, is 3-2 ATS, as each meeting has been decided by seven points or less.

Free College Football Pick

The average margin of victory over the last five meetings in this series is about four points, and there’s not much reason to believe this game will turn out any different. We’re taking TCU and the points.


Dizzy McGee

Dizzy McGee has been hooked on sports betting since the day he hit a 3-team NFL parlay at the age of 10. With 30 years of sports betting under his belt he now shares his betting insights and theories by writing about them at WagerTalk.

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