The RBC Heritage is played at Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, South Carolina.  It is a 7,101 yard Par 71 course where accuracy and course management will be keys to winning this tournament.  Unlike most tournament fields, this event will feature a lot of short hitters that are very accurate compared to the tournaments that favor the bombers.  A lot of what I am looking for with these matchups are golfers that are in good current form and have a good course history at this event.  Keep in mind that this is a course that is right off the ocean, so wind very well may play a factor.  It is always a good idea to look at weather reports and match them up with tee times to see if an edge can be gained.  Wind is mainly what you should look for when looking for weather reports.  Here are some matchups that I am on:

Luke Donald +105 vs. Jason Dufner

Donald is in good form right now and has a great course history at Harbour Town.   He has played this course 7 times and has made the cut every time. Donald has a top 15 and two top 5’s in his last 3 times playing this event.  Dufner is in decent form and is a solid player all around.  He has played this course okay, but not as solid as Donald has in the past.  We are hoping that continues this weekend.

 

Sean O’Hair -110 vs. Tony Finau

O’Hair is playing good golf right now and his stats really fit this golf course.   He is also entering this tournament coming off a 6th place finish here last year.  Finau is a solid golfer who is coming off a victory a few weeks back at the Puerto Rico Open, but for this course I do not believe he checks out.  Finau is a bomber that does not have much accuracy off the tee.  He also does not putt well on Bermuda greens.  Looking for O’Hair to finish better than Finau here.

 

Jerry Kelly -120 vs. Jason Bohn

Kelly has the stats that fit this event very well, and his course history proves it.  Kelly has made the cut every year since 2009 at Harbour Town.  He is also entering this event in good form.  Jason Bohn also has stats that check out well here; however, Bohn has not played an event since the Honda Classic where he had to withdraw from the tournament due to a very serious “heart attack.”  Bohn is a solid golfer that is very accurate, so it would not surprise me to see him play well, but he really does not have a history of playing great here.  Bohn would not be playing in this event if he were not cleared to play, but it is hard to back him knowing the psychological aspect of his situation.

 

Scott Brown -110 vs. KJ Choi

Brown is playing very good golf right now.  He is a very accurate player with an excellent long iron game.  Brown also has the stats that fit this course, and he has a good course history at Harbour Town.  Brown has played the event 3 times and made the cut all three years.  He also finished 5th here in 2014. Choi is an accurate golfer who plays well some events where his stats do not check out, but he has not played that well at Hilton Head.  He’s played this event  3 times and has made the cut twice, finishing 31st and 18th.  Although Choi has the capability of having a nice finish, I do not expect him to play better than Scott Brown.

 

Here are some golfers that I think are much better than their price is suggesting:

Scott Brown 80-1

Francesco Molinari 80-1

Marc Leishman 60-1

Danny Lee 50-1

Russell Knox 50-1

Branden Grace 40-1

David Lingmerth 100-1

2016 RBC HERITAGE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY TEE TIMES

Rnd 1
1 Tee
Rnd 2
10 Tee
7:1011:50Sean O’Hair
Chadds Ford, PA
David Hearn
Brantford, ON, CAN
Greg Owen
Mansfield, ENG
7:2012:00Kevin Na
Las Vegas, NV
Ryan Palmer
Colleyville, TX
Charles Howell III
Windermere, FL
7:3012:10Jeff Overton
Evansville, IN
Steve Marino
Tequesta, FL
Blayne Barber
Auburn, AL
7:4012:20Fabian Gomez
Chaco, ARG
Robert Streb
Shawnee, KS
Luke Donald
High Wycombe, ENG
7:5012:30Peter Malnati
Knoxville, TN
J.J. Henry
Ft. Worth, TX
Brian Harman
St Simons Island, GA
8:0012:40James Hahn
Alameda, CA
David Toms
Shreveport, LA
Stewart Cink
Duluth, GA
8:1012:50Nick Taylor
Abbotsford, B.C., CAN
Geoff Ogilvy
Melbourne, AUS
Russell Henley
Kiawah Island, SC
8:201:00Charley Hoffman
Las Vegas, NV
Brian Gay
Windermere, FL
K.J. Choi
Dallas, TX
8:301:10Jon Curran
Jupiter, FL
Patton Kizzire
Sea Island, GA
Harold Varner III
Gastonia, NC
8:401:20Daniel Summerhays
Farmington, UT
Derek Fathauer
Jupiter, FL
Thongchai Jaidee
Thailand
8:501:30Johnson Wagner
Charlotte, NC
Chez Reavie
Scottsdale, AZ
Jeff Maggert
Sea Pines, SC
Rnd 1
10 Tee
Rnd 2
1 Tee
7:1011:50Shawn Stefani
Houston, TX
Francesco Molinari
Turin, ITA
Si Woo Kim
Seoul, KOR
7:2012:00Tommy Gainey
Hartsville, SC
Will MacKenzie
Jupiter, FL
Hudson Swafford
Sea Island, GA
7:3012:10Kyle Stanley
Gig Harbor, WA
Lucas Glover
Sea Island, GA
Luke List
Seal Beach, CA
7:4012:20Russell Knox
Jacksonville Beach, F
Brendon Todd
Atlanta, GA
Harris English
Sea Island, GA
7:5012:30Chris Kirk
Athens, GA
John Senden
Brisbane, AUS
Rory Sabbatini
Durban, RSA
8:0012:40Kevin Kisner
Aiken, SC
Justin Thomas
Goshen, KY
Zach Johnson
Cedar Rapids, IA
8:1012:50Jason Dufner
Auburn, AL
Davis Love III
Sea Island, GA
Matt Kuchar
Sea Island, GA
8:201:00Jason Bohn
Acworth, GA
Chad Campbell
Andrews, TX
Jamie Lovemark
San Diego, CA
8:301:10Ken Duke
Stuart, FL
Brendon de Jonge
Zimbabwe
William McGirt
Spartanburg, SC
8:401:20George McNeill
Ft. Myers, FL
Jason Kokrak
Warren, OH
Will Wilcox
Pell City, AL
8:501:30Sam Saunders
St. Augustine, FL
Wes Roach
Knoxville, TN
Bronson Burgoon
The Woodlands, TX
Rnd 1
1 Tee
Rnd 2
10 Tee
11:507:10Ian Poulter
Woburn, ENG
Graham DeLaet
Weyburn, SK, CAN
Kevin Chappell
Fresno, CA
12:007:20Mark Wilson
Chicago, IL
Adam Hadwin
Abbotsford, B.C., CAN
Scott Pinckney
Scottsdale, AZ
12:107:30Bryce Molder
Scottsdale, AZ
Kyle Reifers
Charlotte, NC
Brett Stegmaier
Palm Beach Gardens, F
12:207:40David Lingmerth
Tranas, SWE
Camilo Villegas
Medellin, COL
Branden Grace
Fancourt, RSA
12:307:50Jim Herman
Palm City, FL
Chesson Hadley
Raleigh, NC
Justin Leonard
Aspen, CO
12:408:00Graeme McDowell
Portrush, NIR
Billy Horschel
Ponte Vedra Bch, FL
Webb Simpson
Charlotte, NC
12:508:10Jason Day
Brisbane, AUS
Brandt Snedeker
Nashville, TN
Bill Haas
Greenville, SC
1:008:20Robert Allenby
Melbourne, AUS
Erik Compton
Coral Gables, FL
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Sheffield, ENG
1:108:30Scott Brown
Aiken, SC
Aaron Baddeley
Melbourne, AUS
Chris Stroud
Houston, TX
1:208:40Marc Leishman
Melbourne, AUS
Morgan Hoffmann
Wyckoff, NJ
Whee Kim
Seoul, KOR
1:308:50Michael Kim
Houston, TX
Bryson DeChambeau
Clovis, CA
Kelly Mitchum
Southern Pines, NC
Rnd 1
10 Tee
Rnd 2
1 Tee
11:507:10Jerry Kelly
Madison, WI
Spencer Levin
Elk Grove, CA
Chad Collins
Cloverdale, IN
12:007:20Boo Weekley
East Milton, FL
Jason Gore
Valencia, CA
Roberto Castro
Atlanta, GA
12:107:30Zac Blair
Saint George, UT
Andres Gonzales
Lakewood, WA
Sung Kang
Coppell, TX
12:207:40Danny Lee
Rotorua, NZL
Ben Crane
Portland, OR
Ernie Els
South Africa
12:307:50Tony Finau
Lehi, UT
Ben Martin
Kiawah Island, SC
Mike Weir
Brights Grv, ON, CAN
12:408:00Vaughn Taylor
Augusta, GA
Seung-Yul Noh
Irving, TX
Vijay Singh
Fiji Islands
12:508:10Matt Jones
Sydney, AUS
Stuart Appleby
Cohuna, AUS
Paul Casey
Surrey, ENG
1:008:20Brendan Steele
Idyllwild, CA
Ricky Barnes
Phoenix, AZ
Steve Wheatcroft
Jacksonville, FL
1:108:30Carl Pettersson
Raleigh, NC
Tyrone Van Aswegen
Johannesburg, RSA
Mark Hubbard
Denver, CO
1:208:40Colt Knost
Dallas, TX
Justin Hicks
West Palm Beach, FL
Carlos Ortiz
Guadalajara, MEX
1:308:50Hiroshi Iwata
Sendai, JPN
Tyler Aldridge
Nampa, ID
Ryan Ruffels
Australia
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Brock Downs

    Brock has been betting golf successfully for the past 3 seasons. Through advanced statistics and metrics he has been finding matchups to take advantage of. Under the handle Doubledown23 has recently been posting plays and leans that are hitting at a crazy rate. Check out the results for yourself on the forums. You won’t be disappointed!

    Brock Downs has 11 posts and counting. See all posts by Brock Downs

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