Finn Factor MLB Daily Pitch and Free Pick: Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles

There are roughly, depending on whether the Park Factor is from ESPN or the Finn Factor Park Charts, 14 of 30 MLB parks that are considered hitter-friendly and Baltimore’s Oriole Park at Camden Yards is one of the top four, in fact ranking fourth, behind only Coors Field, Great American Ball Park and Miller Park. The Finn Factor MLB Daily Pitch and Free Pick features Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (10-8, 4.61 ERA) against Orioles RH Kevin Gausman (1-2, 4.20)

Today the veteran presence of Detroit starter Sanchez will prove to be too much for the young Orioles right-hander Kevin Gausman, despite the fact that Detroit fading fast into the American League Central background.

Sanchez suffered just his first loss since June 3 in his last start allowing three runs on eight hits in 5 1/3 innings of a 5-2 setback at Tampa Bay. The 31-year-old veteran was a perfect 7-0 in his previous eight starts, including a win over Baltimore after a strong six-frame performance on July 17. Sanchez owns a 2-0 mark with a 3.86 ERA in three career appearances versus the Orioles.

Gausman deserved better in his last outing, his career best Major League outing, allowing six hits over a career-high 7 2/3 scoreless innings against Atlanta, but one should take into consideration that he was facing the Atlanta offense and his LDR in the contest wasn’t good, nor was his hard hit ball factor.

The Orioles starter is 0-1 in two career starts versus Detroit and two starts ago the hard hit ball factor came into play. Gausman allowed 6 hits (4 XBH) and 4 runs to the Yanks over 6 innings, walking 2 and fanning 4. Consider that neither his swinging strike rate nor his chase rate rank him as a even a No,. 5 starter on most MLB clubs. In his start against the Yanks two turns ago he recorded 17 swinging strikes in 96 pitches which while pedestrian is light years better than his career average of just 10.8%. His chase rate has improved this year, when compared to his last two extended times at the big league level, but Camden Yards is not his cup of tea. Gausman is a big park pitcher and it is fact because his career, both minor league and major league Fly Ball and Hard Contact rates are much higher than the league’s No #5 starters average.

Finn Factor MLB Daily Pitch and Free Pick

Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles (-145, 8.5)
7:05 PM ET, Saturday, August 1, 2015
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

  • Detroit plays and hits well behind starter Sanchez. The team is 10-1 in his last 11 road starts against an foe with a winning record and the club is 15-7 in Sanchez’s last 22 road starts.
  • Pit the Orioles Gausman in a dual with team starter that rates as No #3 rotation status and the O’s are a mere 2-10 in Gausman’s last 12 starts. He is overmatched in most situations at the big league level and he is today, as well. And the oddsmakers have actually made Gausman the favorite in the past. In his last seven games as a favorite he and his O’s are 1-6 overall.

You won’t see the Finn Factor scream take the FREE MONEY, but in this matchup it is exactly what you are getting, nearly 50 cents of free money taking Sanchez and the Tigers.

Finn Factor MLB Daily Pitch and Free Pick
DETROIT TIGERS +135

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