Free MLB Picks for Thursday, May 19

Nationals (-113)
Mets hit .242 vs Strasburg. Nats hit .208 lifetime vs Matt Harvey. The Nats are hitting just .229 in L7 games, and a low 3.6 RPG in that span. The Mets are hitting .212 in their L7 games, with a measly 2.3 RPG in that same span. Strasburg is 4-0 on the Road, with a 1.67 ERA. He’s also 5-1 lifetime at Mets Stadium, AND 7-3 in his L10 starts vs the Mets. Meanwhile, Harvey is not close to what he was last year. He’s coming in with a 4.93 ERA and 5.03 ERA in his L3 Starts. – LEAN to the u6.5

Rockies -1.5 (+210) – for 1/2U
The Cardinals seem to be the no brainer play when just looking at paper. I dug deeper and found out that Jon Gray, Colorado’s SP, has a 1.38 Road ERA and 1.80 ERA in his L3 starts. Wacha, for the Cards, checks in with a 3.23 ERA but that drops to 2.08 ERA when at home. As far as hitting, both teams are pretty equal over their L7 games. I have a feeling the public will be huge on the Cardinals, and because of these numbers I see a live dog on the Rockies. — FYI, I ALMOST NEVER DO THIS TYPE OF PLAY WITH MAKING THE DOG A -1.5 RL PLAY.

Giants/Padres u7
The Giants hit just .212 BA vs Shields. Shields has a 2.37 ERA in his L3 starts. Samardiza, for the Giants, has a nice 2.88 ERA overall, but it drops to just 1.52 over his L3 starts. As far as the hitting, well, the Giants are hitting .237 with 3.6 RPG in their L7. The Padres check in with a measly .199 BA and 2.9 RPG in their L7. Let’s not forget that San Diego has one of the absolute hardest parks to score run.

Dodgers 1st 5 Innings (+105) for 1/2U
Stripling 2.12 Road ERA. Opp have never seen him, which usually bodes well for the Pitcher. .The Dodgers hit .387 vs Chacin. The Angels are hitting hot right now, but the Dodgers are at .260 and 4.6 RPG in their L7 games. I normally don’t ever play 1st 5 Inning plays, but the Dodgers BP has some horrible numbers this year, so I don’t want to have to deal with them. That is why I’m going 1st 5.

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LAST NIGHT: Well, with 6 Plays on the Docket, we ended up 2-1 but +170. We had two Totals of 9 that ended up as a Push. We then had the Mariners change starting pitchers. Ugh. None the less I’d take a +170 every night if I could.

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