The Cubs bombed the Cardinals Friday night, cashing in at a nice price against the MLB betting run line. How are we leaning with our daily free MLB picks on Saturday night’s game? MLB Betting Preview and Free MLB Picks: Cubs at Cardinals.
Second game of a three-game set … Chicago took the opener Friday night 13-5, winning at -110 on the MLB betting lines and at +150 against the run line … Saturday’s MLB betting odds opened St. Louis at around -110 over the Cubbies, but early betting action pushed Chicago to -120 chalk … with the win the Cubs are 2-3 over their last five games … with the loss the Cardinals are 1-4 over their last five … St. Louis leads the season series four games to two, with overs going 3-2-1.
At 39-27 Chicago trails first-place Milwaukee by a game and a half in the NL Central … at 36-31 the Cardinals sit five games back.
Also, these two teams are a combined 74-52 on unders this season.
Martinez (3-3, 2.50), by our strict standards, is 6/10 on quality starts this season … but he’s 0 for two since doing a stint on the DL … first he gave up two runs in four innings against against Miami, walking five, and last Sunday he allowed five runs in 3 2/3 innings against Cincinnati, walking seven … St. Louis lost both those games … however, on the season the Cardinals are 6-4 with Martinez, with unders going 5-3 … over five starts last year against the Cubs Martinez allowed 14 earned runs through 29 2/3 innings.
St. Louis won four of those five games … Hendricks (4-6, 3.48) is 6/13 on quality starts … he’s also 0 for his last three, but that’s mainly thanks to a short leash … last Sunday he allowed one run in five innings against Pittsburgh, which was a decent rebound effort after giving up five runs in five innings against Philadelphia his previous time out.
Chicago is only 4-9 with Hendricks this year, but that’s not all his fault .. also, the unders are 9-4 with Hendricks … in three starts last season against the Cardinals Hendricks allowed five runs over 16 2/3 innings … the Cubs won all three of those games.
The Chicago bullpen ranks 3rd in MLB with a 2.71 ERA and 10th with a 1.22 WHIP … the St. Louis pen ranks 24th in ERA at 4.45 and 26th in WHIP at 1.42 … Cubs batters rank 3rd against right-handed pitching with a .259 team batting average, 1st with a .339 team OBP and 10th with a .416 team slugging percentage … St. Louis, which is playing this series without 1B Jose Martinez (.321, 10 HR, 42 RBI), ranks 15th against RHP with a .247 BA, 18th with a .314 OBP and 21st with a .392 slugging percentage.
Chicago is 29-23 this year against RH starters … the Cardinals are 28-22 vs. RH starters.
Martinez is struggling to find his form from earlier this season, and for the moment can’t be trusted … and St. Louis is down a big stick … finally, we like chasing prices with plays on road favorites against the run line.
Free MLB Pick: Cubs -1.5 (+140) at CG