Atlanta plays the visitor role on Sunday afternoon in New York with an early scheduled kickoff at 1:00 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium. The Falcons (-6, 45) are on a three-game slide and took it on the chin at Gillette Stadium versus the Patriots Sunday night. The Jets allowed 17 fourth quarter points to Matt Moore and the Dolphins losing a 31-28 divisional game at Hard Rock Stadium last week. Free NFL Sunday Pick: Falcons at Jets.

The Falcons have been dysfunctional offensively without coordinator Kyle Shanahan. The unit is, however, looking more comfortable in the Steve Sarkisian scheme despite recording a lone garbage time touchdown against the Patriots this past Sunday. Atlanta head coach Dan Quinn has been vocal to the media about being more run oriented in the second half of the season. But expect that coach-speak to be discarded against a New York secondary that was bludgeoned by journeyman Matt Moore a week ago.

Atlanta’s dynamic duo of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman will see more work moving forward but the added touches figure to be through the air. Surprisingly it took Julio Jones seven weeks to record his first touchdown pass in the Sarkisian scheme. The positive in the loss to New England was how involved Jones was in the offense. The All-Pro receiver was targeted 13 times and make nine catches in the loss.

The true talent of the Jets have stood up, or fallen down, in the team’s last two games. Coming off back-to-back losses, two games in which they had double-digit leads, has seen the team’s defense exposed. Offer All-Pro quarterback Matt Ryan time to throw the football and he, Freeman, Coleman and Jones will have little trouble putting points on the scoreboard. The Jets defense had a mere seven sacks in six games before last week’s contest against the Dolphins. They now have a mediocre 10 sacks across seven games after registering three against Miami last weekend.

The Jets can keep the game close with creative blitz schemes and by winning time of possession. Even a pedestrian Falcons defense can prevent both from happening on Sunday.

Additionally the early season Vegas and Offshore advanced lines for this game were in the neighborhood of the Falcons being touchdown favorites on the road. The Falcons loss in New England on Sunday night aids Atlanta backers in this Sunday event. Hence the value with the current Falcons minus-six handicap for this Week #8 event.

 

Key Trends

  • Atlanta is 5-1 against the spread when playing a team with an overall losing record.
  • The Falcons are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a visitor.

In conclusion, despite playing the role of visitor for the second straight week and working on short rest due to their last game being Sunday night the group of talent on the Falcons roster will be ready for this Big Apple affair.

 

Free NFL Sunday Pick: Falcons at Jets

Atlanta Falcons minus-six points is the play.

 

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