It is now time for one of the most spectacular derbies in Europe, and the world, when Atletico Madrid will play host to Real Madrid on Saturday. This is the 162nd edition of this derby and it is Real Madrid who clearly have the upper hand with 89 wins. Atletico Madrid are sitting two points ahead in the standings and both teams are also chasing Barcelona at the top spot.
Date/Time: 2-9-2019, 10:15 EST
Spread: Real Madrid +0.25
Total: 2.25 Goals
Atletico Madrid (12-2-8) will be highly interested in a win here for multiple reasons. One reason is that they have been destroyed in this match-up over the years and will be looking to prove that they are just as good. The other reason is that a loss here would drop them at the third spot and below Real Madrid. Atletico Madrid are sitting at the 2nd spot of the league table with 44 points, just two ahead of Real Madrid and six behind Barcelona. They have the best defense in the league with just 14 conceded goals, and also the best home defense with just 4 conceded goals. Los Rojiblancos have been excellent at home so far in the league (9-0-2), where they also have four more wins and a draw in other competitions. Moreover, they have kept six clean sheets in their last seven home matches in all competitions.
On the other hand, Real Madrid (13-6-3) played a really two-faced match on the road against Barcelona mid-week when the two teams met in the first leg of the Copa del Rey semi-finals. Real Madrid were excellent in the first half and even took an early lead at the 6th minute. But Barcelona destroyed them in the second half and managed to pull even for the final 1-1. Real Madrid are undefeated in their last six matches in all competitions (5-0-1), scoring an impressive 17 goals in that span but conceding six. Real Madrid are now sitting at the 3rd spot of the league table with 42 points, now two behind Atletico Madrid and eight behind Barcelona. They have been solid on the road so far in the league (5-4-2), losing just once in their last nine away matches in all competitions (6-1-2). But they have only kept two clean sheets in that span and none in their last seven.
The two teams split the points in a goal-less draw when Real Madrid played host earlier in the season and it is Real Madrid who remain at the helm in this match-up (86-39-38). But they have not had an easy job in this venue in recent years, winning just once in their last nine trips here (1-4-4).
Atletico Madrid have been really good as hosts lately and could have the upper hand here. I will back the home team to cover the spread as they bounce back from a tough loss.
La Liga Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction: Atletico Madrid -0.25 (+109)