It’s top-meets-bottom in the La Liga on Saturday, when bottom-feeders Huesca will host 2nd-placed Atletico Madrid. Huesca have been really bad in their debut in the La Liga and will most likely return to whence they came. Atletico Madrid have been one of the steadiest teams in Europe this season and are coming here on top of a massive undefeated streak.
Date/Time: 1-19-2019, 12:30 EST
Spread: Atletico Madrid -0.75
Total: 2.25 Goals
Huesca (2-12-5) fought really hard to promote themselves to the La Liga but they have been disappointing so far. In their last match they fought really hard on the road against Leganes but conceded the only goal of the match at the 73rd minute to lose by 0-1. In the match before that they recorded a rare win, just their second all season, at home against Betis by 1-2. But they have been in terrible form all season and even more so lately, losing six of their last eight matches in all competitions (1-6-1). Needless to say that they are stuck at the bottom of the league table with just 11 points, already 10 below the relegation zone. Huesca have both the worst offense with 17 goals and the worst defense with 36 conceded. Moreover, they have the worst home record in the league (1-4-4), where they have scored just 8 goals so far.
On the other hand, Atletico Madrid (10-1-8) played a spectacular match at home against Girona in the second leg of their Copa del Rey tie. The two teams played for a 1-1 draw on the road in the first leg so Atletico Madrid had a seemingly easy job. But things didn’t quite go as predicted, as Girona proved to be quite a hard nut to crack as they held out for a 3-3 draw that saw Atletico Madrid eliminated there and then. But it wasn’t a loss, in fact Atletico Madrid have lost just once in the league so far, and once in the Champions League – that’s a total of 29 matches. They are also undefeated in their last 17 matches in all competitions (10-0-7). When it comes to the La Liga, Atletico Madrid are still sitting 2nd in the La Liga with 38 points, five behind Barcelona and five ahead of Sevilla and Real Madrid. They have not been very strong at home so far but have the most away draws in the league (2-1-6).
Atletico Madrid destroyed Huesca by a strong 0-3 at home in the first round and I expect something similar to happen here. When it comes to totals, Huesca had Over 2.5 Goals in just 3 of their 9 home matches so far, an average of 2.2 goals per match. Atletico Madrid have only had one of their 8 away matches feature Over 2.5 Goals.
I expect Atletico Madrid to take the three points here, one way or the other. So besides them covering the spread, I will suggest the Under 2.25 Goals. Both teams are not fond of high-scoring matches and this can easily end with very few goals.
La Liga Huesca vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: Atletico Madrid -0.75 (-107) / Under 2.25 Goals (-112)
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