Sevilla found success in the Europa League and managed to overcome Lazio in the round of 32. They will now return to domestic duties on Saturday when they will host Barcelona. Barcelona failed to beat Lyon in the Champions League but the draw was not a bad result. Neither team has been in very good form lately though and this will be an interesting match.
Date/Time: 2-23-2019, 10:15 EST
Spread: Sevilla +0.5
Total: 3 Goals
Sevilla (10-7-7) were great in both matches against Lazio in the Europa League round of 16. They won the first leg by 1-0 on the road and doubled that with a 0-2 at home on Wednesday. In between those matches they fell hard against Villarreal by 0-3 on the road. Sevilla have won just these two matches in their last six in all competitions though (2-3-1). They are now sitting at the 4th spot of the La Liga with 37 points. They are already 8 behind Real Madrid but just one ahead of Getafe and Alaves. Sevilla are traditionally strong at home, where this season they have been great (7-1-3). To put that into perspective, Sevilla have lost just one of their last 16 home matches in all competitions (13-1-2).
On the other hand, Barcelona (16-2-6) fought really hard in their away match against Lyon in the Champions League round of 16. They were much better than their opponents but they were not able to score a valuable goal. Even so, a slim win at home would see them through. Barcelona might be undefeated in their last seven matches in all competitions but have won just once in their last five. Barcelona are still sitting at the top of the La Liga with 54 points, seven ahead of Atletico Madrid. Barca have the best away record in the league so far (7-1-3) but have struggled on the road lately. They have won just one of their last five away matches in all competitions (1-2-2). And they have only scored in two of those matches.
The two teams last met in the Copa del Rey in late January, where they exchanged home wins. Sevilla won here by 0-2 but were destroyed by 2-6 in Barcelona and were eliminated. Barcelona won by 2-4 at home in the La Liga earlier in the season and also won the Spanish Super Cup by 1-2 in early August.
Barcelona have even been great in this venue in the past decade (8-3-3). But Sevilla are coming off a nice pair of wins against Lazio and will be in good spirits. I will take my chances with backing the home team to cover the spread here.
La Liga Sevilla vs Barcelona Prediction: Sevilla +0.5 (-110)
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