Club America met a really unexpected loss in the Copa Mexico against Juarez and saw their run end at the round of 16. They will now have to shift their focus on their Liga MX bid, where they have been quite good. They will now play host to Chivas Guadalajara on Sunday, who also met a loss in the Copa Mexico. Chivas have struggled a little in their last four, but they were in great shape prior to that.
Date/Time: 9-30-2018, 19:00 EDT
Spread: Club America -0.75
Total: 2.5 Goals
Club America (6-2-2) are coming off a really bad loss in the round of 32 of the Copa Mexico. They played for a 2-2 draw in the regular time against Ascenso MX side Juarez and eventually lost in the penalty shoot-out. They have been eliminated and will now solely focus in the league. They had won each of the their previous four matches but have kept just one clean sheet in their last eight. Club America are now sitting at the 2nd spot of the Liga MX with 20 points, three behind Cruz Azul. They have been excellent at home so far, where they have yet to lose in seven matches in all competitions (5-0-2).
On the other hand, Chivas Guadalajara (4-4-2) met an equally bad loss at home against Pumas. Their opponents meant business in the first half and took the lead twice before Chivas scored a late own goal for the final 3-1. They have been in really bad form lately, winning just one of their last four (1-2-1). Moreover, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five. Chivas Guadalajara are now sitting at the 10th spot of the league table with 14 points after 10 matches. They have scored 14 goals and have conceded 13 in the process. They have actually been really good on the road (3-1-1) and have won each of their last four in all competitions.
Club America won in this venue last season by 1-2 before a 1-1 draw on the road against Chivas. They have lost just once in the last six matches against this opponent (2-1-3). Five of those six matches featured Under 2.5 Goals. Club America just slightly have the upper hand as hosts in the past five years (3-2-3).
Both teams are coming off bad losses in the Copa Mexico and will have to get their heads back together. While most of the matches between the two feature very few goals, that might change now. Neither team has a very good defense and will both struggle to keep clean sheets. I will take the Over 2.5 Goals on this one.
Liga MX Club America vs Chivas Guadalajara Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals (-109)
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