Paris Saint Germain are on track to capture yet another Ligue 1 title, and there seems to be no stopping them this season. They have been in really strong shape all season and lately, with their only loss coming in the League Cup against Guingamp two matches ago. But fate has it that the two teams will meet again in the same venue, ten days later, on Saturday. Guingamp have been really bad throughout the season but have found a rich vein of form lately.
Date/Time: 1-19-2019, 11:00 EST
Spread: Paris Saint Germain -2.75
Total: 3.75 Goals
Paris Saint Germain (16-0-2) are coming into this match after a really strong 3-0 win on the road against Amiens. The truth is that they couldn’t score in the first half and took the lead from a penalty kick at the 57th minute. Their opponents were left with 10 men and that opened the door for Paris Saint Germain to score two more goals for the final 3-0. But prior to that they met a really tough elimination in the League Cup quarter-finals when they lost to Guingamp by 2-1 at home. That loss came after four consecutive wins and it was their first after 19 matches in all competitions since a 2-3 on the road against Liverpool. Paris Saint Germain are still riding at the top of the league table with 50 points, already 17 ahead of Lille. They have by far the best offense with 53 goals and the best defense with just 10 conceded. They have won all nine league matches at home so far (9-0-0) scoring 28 goals in the process while conceding just three.
On the other hand, Guingamp (3-12-5) have been in really great form lately and are coming into this match hot. In their last match they did need a lot of luck in order to reach a nice 1-2 home win against Rennes but, to be honest, a draw would be a much more fair result. Even so, Guingamp have now won four of their last six matches in all competitions (4-1-1), including wins over Paris Saint Germain and Monaco in that span. Not bad at all. However, they are still sitting at the bottom of the league table with 14 points, just four points below the red line. Guingamp have not been very strong on the road throughout the season (2-6-2 in the league), but have won each of their last three, scoring at least twice in each match. And again, that includes away matches against Paris Saint Germain and Monaco, two MUCH greater teams than Guingamp.
As I said before, the last time these two met was in this venue about 10 days ago for the Legue Cup quarter-finals, where Guingamp won and moved through. But it was Paris Saint Germain who won by 3-1 on the road earlier in the season, and they were undefeated in the previous five against Guingamp (4-0-1).
Paris Saint Germain are always really strong at home, where they had 11 wins and a draw prior to their loss to Guingamp. They will be out to get revenge for that match, and this is probably where Guingamp’s great form gets tainted. They just might be able to contribute to the scoring here, so I will take the Over 3.75 Goals here.
Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain vs Guingamp Prediction: Over 3.75 Goals (-113)
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