I spent 3 years creating In-Game lines for NFL and NCAAF games for Pinnacle Sports (made, posted and adjusted lines all in the span of 3 minutes while taking bets of over $100,000 and ended year 2013 up over $1,000,000 in live football). During that time I learned a lot about market tendencies and where to find value.

Here are some simple tips to help you with your NFL Live bets during the rest of the playoffs.

  1. Bet immediately after a score – If you are going to bet, bet immediately after a score. The line is much less stable at that point, then after a punt. A score is a big change in the game state and often is the most uncertain time to post a line. After a score was the scariest time for me to post.

  1. Take a pregame underdog who is leading in the 2nd Half- The market wildly undervalues a pregame underdog who has a lead later in the game. This spot would come up over and over again and allow me to post a shaded line towards the favorite to overcharge the bettors, knowing that no one would take the dog. If Denver or Arizona has a lead in the 3rd or 4th quarter of the Conference Finals, feel confident betting on them.
  2. Beware of two possession spreads – In the playoffs teams will play ultra conservative with their Defense to close out games when they have a 2 score lead. Be wary of any spread -7.5 or higher. A lot of people got burned KC and Seattle’s late game heroics last week due to New England and Carolina going into a prevent and just looking to kill clock while giving up scores to close out the game. I’d steer away from a big spread in either of the conference final games.

 

Sports Betting Tips from Vegas Frank

Direct from Las Vegas, WagerTalk TV host Marco D’Angelo (@MarcoInVegas) talks with special guest Professional Gambler “Vegas Frank” about the tips and tricks on handicapping for a living in Las Vegas.

Mark Herberholz

Former Magic: The Gathering Pro Tour Champion who reached the #1 ranking in the entire world. He is best known for winning Pro Tour Honolulu in 2006, and for designing the Heezy-street deck he used to win the tournament. He has 4 Pro Tour Top 8s, but all of those are eclipsed by his appearance on The Price is Right.That experience opened a door for him to spend 3 years in the Caribbean working for Pinnacle Sports. He created sports betting lines for live games of NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF (made, posted and adjusted lines all in the span of 3 minutes while taking bets of over $100,000) and ended year 2013 up over $1,000,000 in live football.After that he moved onto designing award winning physical and digital games. His passion for games and sports combined with his experience in the sports betting world has led to his status as an emerging expert in the Daily Fantasy Sports field. His knowledge helps bring what Vegas knows to everyone interested in improving their Daily Fantasy game.

Mark Herberholz has 26 posts and counting. See all posts by Mark Herberholz

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