Houston is hot, Kansas City is not. How are we playing Friday night’s Astros-Royals battle in KC with our free MLB picks?  MLB Betting Preview and Free MLB Picks: Astros at Royals.

Astros (Morton) -190 /9 at Royals (Junis), 8:15 ET

Game 1 of a three-game series … Friday’s MLB betting lines opened Houston at around -195, then dropped it about a nickel, to the -190 range … this is the first encounter between these recent World Series champions this season … last year the Astros won the World Series but Kansas City won this season series four games to three … overs went 4-2-1 … Houston just swept a three-game series in Oakland this week, finishing it off with a 7-3 victory Thursday … so the Astros carry an eight-game winning streak into this series … they’ve also played four overs in a row, tallying 34 runs in the process … the Royals just got swept two games at home by Cincinnati, falling Wednesday 7-0 … so KC has lost nine of its last 10 … it’s also played seven unders in its last eight games, because it’s scored a total of 11 runs during that span.

At 45-25 Houston leads the AL West by a half-game over second-place Seattle. Meanwhile, the 22-46 Royals are already playing out the string on a lost season.

Junis (5-6, 4.05), by our strict standards, is 6/13 on quality starts this year, but only one for his last six … last Friday he gave up six runs and three home runs in 5 1/3 innings against Oakland, and over those last six starts he’s allowed 20 runs through 29 innings … Kansas City is actually 7-6 with Junis this season, unders 7-5 … in one career start against the Astros, last June, Junis gave up seven runs – four earned – through 3 2/3 innings, although the Royals eventually won that game 9-7 … Morton (7-1, 2.82) is 8/13 on QS but 0 for his last three … last Saturday he gave up two runs – one earned – , walked six and hit four guys in 3 2/3 innings against Texas … and over his last three starts he’s allowed 10 ER through 15 innings … Houston is 8-5 with Morton this year, unders 7-6 … Morton last started against Kansas City three years ago, when he was with Pittsburgh .. and that is already a long time ago.

The Houston bullpen ranks 4th in the Majors this year with a 2.91 ERA and 1st with a 1.08 WHIP … the KC pen ranks dead last – 30th – in ERA at 5.63 and 28th in WHIP at 1.49 … Astros hitters rank 6th against right-handed pitching with a .257 team batting average, 3rd with a .330 team OBP and 8th with a .422 team slugging percentage… the Royals rank 17th against RH pitching with a .245 BA, 24th with a .305 OBP and 27th with a .371 slugging.

Houston is 29-15 against RH starters this year … Kansas City is a miserable 12-34 against righties.

Free MLB Pick: Astros -1.5 (-130) at BetOnline




MLB Betting Preview and Free MLB Picks: Astros at Royals

Dizzy McGee

Dizzy McGee has been hooked on sports betting since the day he hit a 3-team NFL parlay at the age of 10. With 30 years of sports betting under his belt he now shares his betting insights and theories by writing about them at WagerTalk.

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