MLS Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Spread and Prediction

There is a crucial match in the last match-day of the regular season, where two teams in horrible form will fight to place themselves inside the playoff spots. Portland are sitting inside and even a draw here would grant them a ticket to the post-season. San Jose are sitting outside and Dallas are in-between in the standings. The Quakes can enter the post-season with a win here, so this is going to be intense.

Date/Time: 10-6-2019, 16:00 EST

Spread: Portland Timbers -0.25

Total: 3.25 Goals

The Portland Timbers (13-13-7) took the lead in their away match against Sporting Kansas City. It was a really physical match with a lot of cards and three people were sent off. Portland eventually scored a late equalizer to hold out for a 2-2 draw. That was their third draw in a row, and the fifth consecutive match without a win (0-2-3). Portland are now sitting 6th in the Western Conference with 46 points. They have Dallas one point behind and San Jose two points behind. Portland have not been very good at home this season (7-5-4), mostly due to their inability to win matches there in the past two months (2-4-2).

On the other hand, San Jose (13-15-5) will surely be frustrated about the outcome of their home match against Seattle. They were much better than their opponents in that match and created a ton of scoring chances. But their opponents scored a late goal to force San Jose to a 1-0 loss at home. That was their fifth consecutive loss, and eighth in their last ten matches (2-8-0). San Jose are now sitting at the 8th spot of the Western Conference with 44 points. They are one point behind Dallas and two points behind Portland. A win here would grant them a ticket to the playoffs, but they have won just three of their 16 away matches this season (3-10-3). And they have lost each of their last six on the road.

San Jose won by an easy 0-3 at home earlier in the season, but Portland had won each of the previous three against the Quakes. More importantly, Portland have been almost perfect as hosts against San Jose over the years (10-1-4), winning each of the last eight and conceding just two goals in that span. This is a match between two sides in terrible form, and I will choose the one with the better history and the home advantage.

MLS Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction: Portland Timbers -0.25 (-118)

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