Tipoff of this Western Conference square-dance is slated for Houston’s Toyota Center at 8:00 p.m. ET. The Spurs are fighting off injuries while the Rockets are at in prime-time form having won 11 straight home games and eighteen of their last nineteen overall. Monday Night NBA Free Pick: San Antonio at Houston.
The San Antonio Spurs are losers of 10 of their last 13 and are in seventh place overall in the Western Conference postseason standings. They own a half-game lead on three of the conference playoff hopefuls.
Injuries have decimated San Antonio this season. The team is expected to be without All-Star forward LaMarcus Aldridge (knee) tonight. And defensive stalwart and one of the team’s largest offensive contributors, Kawhi Leonard, also remains out. His return could happen later this week but he won’t dress against Western Conference leader Houston
The Houston (-11.5, 210) backcourt of Eric Gordon, Chris Paul and stud James Harden are at the top of their game. Despite the struggles of shooting forward Trevor Ariza the Rockets are playing the best basketball of any team in the league.
A glance at their current run finds them not only winning but covering the number at an overwhelming rate
3/11/18 @ Dallas W 105-82
3/9/18 @ Toronto L 105-108
3/7/18 @ Milwaukee W 110-99
3/6/18 @ Oklahoma City W 122-112
3/3/18 Boston ` W 123-120
2/28/18 @ L.A. Clippers W 105-92
2/26/18 @ Utah ` W 96-85
2/25/18 @ Denver W 119-114
2/23/18 Minnesota W 120-102
2/14/18 Sacramento W 100-91
2/13/18 @ Minnesota W 126-108
2/11/18 Dallas W 104-97
2/9/18 Denver W 130-104
2/7/18 @ Miami W 109-101
2/6/18 @ Brooklyn W 123-113
2/3/18 @ Cleveland W 120-88
2/1/18 @ San Antonio W 102-91
1/30/18 Orlando W 114-107
1/28/18 Phoenix W 113-102
The Rockets are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with winning records on the season and are 5-0 against the number in their last five versus the West.
The Spurs inconsistency and injury issues make them a difficult public team to back. San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against quality teams, with winning percentages of .501 or better, and their only cover in their last six contests against the Western Conference came as a 12-point underdog versus Golden State last week.
Lay the wood tonight in the All-Texas contest backing the Rockets minus the double-digit spread.
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Monday Night NBA Free Pick: San Antonio at Houston