Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Picks, Spread and Prediction

In this all-Western showdown, the Denver Nuggets (5-6), are hosting the Golden State Warriors (6-5). Both teams are coming off single defeats that ended their previous two-game winning streaks and are looking to bounce back tonight. The hosts just came back from a three-game road trip, while this will be the guests first road game after seven straight at home.

Date/Time: 01-14-2021, 22:00 EDT Spread: Denver Nuggets -5 Total: +229.5

Nuggets have a 5-6 record (3-8 ATS, 9-2 O/U) and are tied for 9th in the West. In their last game they lost on the road by Brooklyn, 116-122, not beating the odds. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 games and have an average total of 228.6 in that span. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5.

Warriors have a 6-5 record (5-6 ATS, 4-7 O/U) and are tied for 7th in the West. In their last game they lost by Indiana at home, 95-104, not beating the odds. Under is 4-0 in their last four games and have an average total of 207.25 in that span. They are also 4-2 ATS in their last 6.

Nuggets are 2-4 at home, while Warriors are 2-2 on the road. Both teams were tied 1-1 wins last season with each team winning on the road. Warriors won by 16 and Nuggets by 3 in overtime. Golden State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings for an average total of 228.5. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 Denver meetings for an average total of 222.5. Nuggets are better both offensively (116.5 to 112 ppg) and defensively (113.6 to 115.5 ppg).

Over/Under is +229.5 for this game and I’m going to go with Under today. Only twice in their last seven meetings they have surpassed that total. The only times Denver was over 230 points, was against the fourth-best offense (Brooklyn), the fourth-worse defense (Minnesota twice) and in an overtime game against Dallas.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction: Under -229.5 (-111)

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The NBA has returned, but basketball will continue from around the globe. Sportsmemo handicapper Pavlos Laguretos specializes in European soccer and basketball, and will continue offering betting tips from Europe’s top basketball leagues.

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