Heat vs Bucks Betting Preview
The Gold Sheet offers their NBA betting preview for Thursday night’s Eastern Conference playoff showdown between the Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks. After scraping through the opener with a 109-107 OT victory, Milwaukee woke up to the fact that this is the same Miami team that took a 4-1 Conference semifinal from it last season, a foe too dangerous to be taken lightly.
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The Bucks might’ve been in possession of a false sense of security after taking two of the three regular season games against the Heat this season, but they bounced back in Game 2 of this series with a 132-98 victory Monday behind 31 pts. and 13 rebs. from Giannis Antetokounmpo. In that Game 2 victory, Milwaukee rained a torrent of 3-pointers down, making 22 of 53 beyond the arc. The Bucks also showed the Heat who’s the boss on the boards in that one, cleaning the glass for a monster 61-36 rebounding edge. That game was over at the half, with Milwaukee seizing a 78-51 lead at the intermission. Over the course of the two games, the Bucks have the 2nd-best net-rating in the playoffs fueled by the best defensive rating (98.6 pts. per 100 possessions) in the postseason.
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) May 26, 2021
The Greek Freak is at 29 ppg 15.5 rpg and 5.5 apg in the series, Khris Middleton is at 22 ppg, 53% FGs and 50% on treys in the first 2 meetings, and PG Jrue Holiday has averaged 16 ppg with 9 rpg and 9 apg in the first 2 postseason encounters. Beyond those three statistical leaders, support is flowing from backup PG Bryn Forbes (59% FGs in first 2 in the series) and starting C Brook Lopez 13 ppg, 7 rpg, who is sharing time with Bobby Portis (10 ppg on 59% in postseason).
Conversely, Miami leader Jimmy Butler and usually high-energy, high-production C Bam Adebayo are shooting 25% and 34.6% respectively in the first 2 outings, while Tyler Herro and Kendrick Nunn are at a combined 28%. Normally might look for the Heat to rally back at home, but recent trends indicate Bucks extracting payback for previous early exits from the playoffs, and feel the value lies with the visitor. Bucks have won 3 straight and 5 of last 7 SU against Miami this season and were favored by an average of 5 points over the past 6 visits to the American Airlines Arena. This one comes out 4 on our ratings, so 1½ seems light. Play Milwaukee.
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Founded in 1957, The Gold Sheet is the country’s longest-running sports betting newsletter. Each week, the Gold Sheet team delivers daily analysis on NBA and college basketball matchups, plus comprehensive coverage of NFL and college football games in the fall. For over 60 years, Gold Sheet readers have received Key Releases, as well as access to proprietary power rankings on all teams. The Gold Sheet maintains in-depth point spread and results logs, giving sports bettors and enthusiasts the insight needed to maximize their wagers.
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