In this battle between two squads sitting on mirror sides of the playoff places of the East, the 8th Miami Heat (32-35), who have lost only once in their last 6 games, are hosting the first Milwaukee Bucks (51-17), who are looking to turn their latest victory into a streak.
Date/Time: 03-15-2019, 20:00 EDT
Spread: Miami Heat +4
Miami Heat have a 32-35 record (36-31 against the spread) so far this season and currently sit in the 8th place of the East. They have won five of their last six matches and in their last game they won at home against the Pistons with a 108-74 score, beating the odds. They are led in scoring by Josh Richardson with 17.2 ppg, adding 3.6 boards and 4 dimes per game. He is followed by Goran Dragic with 14.7 ppg and 4.1 dimes per game.
Milwaukee Bucks have a 51-17 record (40-25-3 against the spread) so far this season and currently sit in the first place of the whole NBA. They have won three of their last four matches and in their last game they won on the road against the Pelicans with a 130-113 score, beating the odds. They are led in scoring by Giannis Antetokounmpo with 27 ppg, adding team highs both in dimes made with 5.9 and in boards grabbed with 12.6 per game. He is followed by Kris Middleton with 17.5 ppg, 6 boards and 4.3 dimes per game.
In their two previous meetings earlier this season each team won once at home (Heat by 7 points and Bucks by 38). Heat have a 16-19 home record, while the Bucks are 24-12 on the road. Bucks are better offensively, scoring 117.6 ppg to Heat’s 106.1 ppg, while Heat are better defensively, allowing 106.1 ppg to Bucks’ 108.4. Bucks have a better field goal percentage (47.7% to 45.3%), while Heat have a better 3-point percentage (35.5% to 35.1%). Bucks are better in boards grabbed (49.3 to 46.2), in dimes made (26 to 24.1) and in turnovers committed (13.4 to 14.5). Bucks are the absolute favorite and Vegas odds give them a -4 spread and expect them to beat the odds for the road win.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks -4 (-110)
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