Two teams with almost identical records sitting within the playoff places of each conference are clashing today, when the fourth in the East Miami Heat (36-22), who have won only once in their last 5 games, are hosting the seventh in the West Dallas Mavericks (36-23), who on the other hand have lost once in their last 5.
Date/Time: 02-28-2020, 20:00 EDT
Spread: Miami Heat -2
Miami Heat have a 36-22 record (30-26-2 against the spread) and are sitting on the 4th place of the East. They have lost four of their last five matches and in their last game they lost at home against the Timberwolves with a 126-129 score, not beating the odds. Jimmy Butler leads the team both in scoring with 20.5 ppg and in assists made with 6.2, adding 6.8 rebounds per game. Goran Dragic follows with 16.3 ppg and 5 assists per game.
Dallas Mavericks have a 36-23 record (32-24-3 against the spread) and are sitting in the 7th place of the West. They have won four of their last five matches and in their last game they won on the road against the Spurs with a 109-103 score, beating the odds. Luka Doncic leads the team in scoring with 28.7 ppg, in rebounding with 9.6 and in assists made with 8.7 per game. Kristaps Porzingis follows with 18.7 ppg and 9.2 rebounds per game.
In their previous meeting earlier this season the Heat won on the road with a 118-122 score in overtime. Heat are 23-4 at home, while the Mavs are 20-9 on the road. Mavericks are better offensively, scoring 116.6 ppg to Heat’s 112.5, while Heat are better defensively, allowing 109.3 ppg to Mavs’ 110.5. Heat have better percentages both in field goals (47% to 46.3%) and in 3-pointers (37.9% to 37%). On the other hand, Mavericks are better both in rebounding (47.2 to 44.8) and in turnovers committed (12.4 to 15.1), while Heat are better in assists made (25.7 to 24.3). Bookmakers give the Heat a -2 spread and with Luka Doncic questionable for today, expect them to beat the odds for the home win.
Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Pick: Miami Heat -2 (-110)
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