Two teams sitting right outside the playoff places of their respective conference are clashing tonight, when the Dallas Mavericks (26-30), looking to bounce back after their latest defeat, are hosting the Miami Heat (25-30), who have won only once in their last 7 games and have fallen out of the top-8 of the East.

Date/Time: 02-13-2019, 20:30 EDT

Spread: Dallas Mavericks -2.5

Total: +209

Dallas Mavericks have a 26-30 record (34-21-1 against the spread) so far this season and are currently tied with the Timberwolves in the 11th place of the West. They have lost two of their last three matches and in their last game they lost on the road against the Rockets with a 104-120 score, not beating the odds. They are led in scoring by Luka Doncic with 20.8 ppg, adding 7.1 boards and 5.5 dimes per game. He is followed by Tim Hardaway Jr. with 14.5 ppg and 3.5 boards per game.

Miami Heat have a 25-30 record (28-27 against the spread) so far this season and currently sit in the 9th place of the East. They have lost six of their last seven matches and in their last game they lost on the road against the Nuggets with an 87-103 score, not beating the odds. They are led in scoring by Josh Richardson with 17.6 ppg, adding 3.6 boards and 3.9 dimes per game. He is followed by Goran Dragic with 15.3 ppg, 3.1 boards and a team high 4.9 dimes per game but he is out with an injury.

Heat won both meetings against the Mavericks last season (at home by 12 points and on the road by 7). Mavericks have a 20-8 home record, while the Heat are 14-14 on the road. Mavericks are better offensively, scoring 108.8 ppg to Heat’s 104.9, while Heat are better defensively, allowing 105.7 ppg to Mavs’ 108.7. Both teams have very similar percentages both in field goals (44.9% to 44.4%) and in 3-pointers (35% to 34.7%). Heat are better in boards grabbed (46.7 to 45.7), in dimes made (23.8 to 22.6), while both teams are almost equal in turnovers committed (14.6 to 14.8). Mavericks have been effective at home and Vegas odds give them a -2.5 spread and expect them to beat the odds against a mediocre on the road Heat team.

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction: Dallas Mavericks -2.5 (-112)

 

Furthermore check out my other Free Basketball Picks here: 

NBA Warriors vs Blazers Spread and Prediction

NBA Kings vs Nuggets Spread and Prediction

NBA Wizards vs Raptors Spread and Prediction

NBA Rockets vs Timberwolves Spread and Prediction

NBA Grizzlies vs Bulls Spread and Prediction

NBA Pistons vs Celtics Spread and Prediction

NBA Sixers vs Knicks Spread and Prediction

NBA Nets vs Cavaliers Spread and Prediction

NBA Bucks vs Pacers Spread and Prediction

 

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Nikos Lagouretos

    My name is Nikos Lagouretos, I am 35 years old from Greece and I have been a basketball enthusiast for almost 25 years, having played semi-pro myself. All those years i have seen countless games, done a ton of reading and statistical analysis and I thought it was about time to put them to some good use. I provide analysis, predictions and specialize in NBA, WNBA and almost every domestic and international club league of Europe.

    Nikos Lagouretos has 3015 posts and counting. See all posts by Nikos Lagouretos

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