Two squads sitting on mirror sides of the Western Conference table are clashing tonight, when the second Denver Nuggets (44-22), looking to turn their latest victory into another streak, are hosting the second-worse Dallas Mavericks (27-40), who have been on a free fall and have won only once in their last twelve games.

Date/Time: 03-14-2019, 22:30 EDT

Spread: Denver Nuggets -11

Total: +220

Denver Nuggets have a 44-22 record (36-30 against the spread) so far this season and currently sit in the second place of the West. They have won two of their last three matches and in their last game they won at home against the Timberwolves with a 133-107 score, beating the odds. They are led in scoring by Nikola Jokic with 20.4 ppg, adding team highs both in dimes made with 7.6 and in boards grabbed with 10.7 per game. He is followed by Jamal Murray with 18.4 ppg, 4.2 boards and 4.9 dimes per game.

Dallas Mavericks have a 27-40 record (37-29-1 against the spread) so far this season and are currently tied with the Grizzlies in the second to last place of the West. They have lost 11 of their last 12 matches and in their last game they lost at home against the Spurs with a 105-112 score, not beating the odds. They are led in scoring by Luka Doncic with 20.9 ppg, adding 7.4 boards and 5.6 dimes per game. He is followed by Tim Hardaway Jr. with 14.7 ppg and 3.3 boards per game.

Nuggets have won both previous meetings against the Mavericks this season (at home by 8 points and on the road by 10). Nuggets have a 28-6 home record, while the Mavericks are 6-27 on the road. Nuggets are better both offensively, scoring 112.3 ppg to Mavs’ 107.9 and defensively, allowing 107.3 ppg to Mavs’ 109.6 ppg. They also have better percentages both in field goals (46.9% to 44.6%) and in 3-pointers (35.8% to 34.1%). Nuggets are better in dimes made (27.8 to 22.7), in boards grabbed (46.7 to 45) and in turnovers committed (13.1 to 14.4). Nuggets are the absolute favorite and Vegas odds give them a -11 spread and expect them to beat the odds for an easy home win.

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction: Denver Nuggets -11 (-109)


Furthermore check out my other Free Basketball Picks here: 

NBA Timberwolves vs Jazz Spread and Prediction

NBA Lakers vs Raptors Spread and Prediction

NBA Kings vs Celtics Spread and Prediction

NBA Cavaliers vs Magic Spread and Prediction

NBA Thunder vs Pacers Spread and Prediction



Bobby’s College Hoops Big Bet

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Nikos Lagouretos

    My name is Nikos Lagouretos, I am 35 years old from Greece and I have been a basketball enthusiast for almost 25 years, having played semi-pro myself. All those years i have seen countless games, done a ton of reading and statistical analysis and I thought it was about time to put them to some good use. I provide analysis, predictions and specialize in NBA, WNBA and almost every domestic and international club league of Europe.

    Nikos Lagouretos has 3065 posts and counting. See all posts by Nikos Lagouretos

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