Two squads sitting on mirror sides of the Western Conference table are clashing tonight, when the second Denver Nuggets (44-22), looking to turn their latest victory into another streak, are hosting the second-worse Dallas Mavericks (27-40), who have been on a free fall and have won only once in their last twelve games.
Date/Time: 03-14-2019, 22:30 EDT
Spread: Denver Nuggets -11
Denver Nuggets have a 44-22 record (36-30 against the spread) so far this season and currently sit in the second place of the West. They have won two of their last three matches and in their last game they won at home against the Timberwolves with a 133-107 score, beating the odds. They are led in scoring by Nikola Jokic with 20.4 ppg, adding team highs both in dimes made with 7.6 and in boards grabbed with 10.7 per game. He is followed by Jamal Murray with 18.4 ppg, 4.2 boards and 4.9 dimes per game.
Dallas Mavericks have a 27-40 record (37-29-1 against the spread) so far this season and are currently tied with the Grizzlies in the second to last place of the West. They have lost 11 of their last 12 matches and in their last game they lost at home against the Spurs with a 105-112 score, not beating the odds. They are led in scoring by Luka Doncic with 20.9 ppg, adding 7.4 boards and 5.6 dimes per game. He is followed by Tim Hardaway Jr. with 14.7 ppg and 3.3 boards per game.
Nuggets have won both previous meetings against the Mavericks this season (at home by 8 points and on the road by 10). Nuggets have a 28-6 home record, while the Mavericks are 6-27 on the road. Nuggets are better both offensively, scoring 112.3 ppg to Mavs’ 107.9 and defensively, allowing 107.3 ppg to Mavs’ 109.6 ppg. They also have better percentages both in field goals (46.9% to 44.6%) and in 3-pointers (35.8% to 34.1%). Nuggets are better in dimes made (27.8 to 22.7), in boards grabbed (46.7 to 45) and in turnovers committed (13.1 to 14.4). Nuggets are the absolute favorite and Vegas odds give them a -11 spread and expect them to beat the odds for an easy home win.
Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction: Denver Nuggets -11 (-109)
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