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NFL Draft Props from Las Vegas
The 2020 NFL Draft will no longer be held in Las Vegas, but the actual draft process is still scheduled to continue in late-April. Caesars Sports Book in Las Vegas has just released their updated props for the event. Bettors can wager on how many quarterbacks will go in the first round (o/u 4) and the number of Alabama players selected in the first round (o/u 5.5).
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I’ve been pointing it out for the last two weeks, and I’ll continue to do so here: The prop that jumped out to me was “No Running Back Taken in the First Round,” which opened at +310 and has since been bet down to +270. The price has steadily dropped, but I still think you can squeeze some value out of it.
Following Todd Gurley’s exodus from Los Angeles, this factoid has come to light: Twenty-two running backs were taken in the 2015 NFL Draft, and not a single one of them is still with the team that selected them. Who is investing a first round pick on a player that has such a limited shelf life on your roster? The latest mock drafts from CBS Sports, SB Nation, and USA Today were done without a running back selected in the first round. ESPN’s Todd McShay has Georgia running back D’Andre Swift going in the last pick of the first round to the Kansas City Chiefs. That might happen and my wager might lose, but at +270 I certainly think it’s worth a swing.
On this episode of the Opening Line Report with Teddy Covers and Drew Martin, the duo go over the 2020 NFL free agency period and talk about some of the winners and losers and more importantly, how it will affect the sports betting market.
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