NFC Championship Odds and Preview: Packers at 49ers

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San Francisco vs. Green Bay Predictions

The calendar flipped to 2020, but the Packers’ method of pulling out ugly victories remained the same. Seattle ran more plays, had more yards, had more first downs, and had more time of possession than Green Bay last week, but the only numbers that matter at the betting window are the ones on the scoreboard. The Packers won (and covered) to earn a spot in this weekend’s NFC Championship game. Tune in as the WagerTalk TV crew offers their San Francisco vs. Green Bay preview.

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Event: (311) Green Bay Packers +7.5 at (312) San Francisco 49ers (o/u 46.5)
Date/Time: Sunday, January 19 at 6:30 p.m. EDT

The Packers have been winning games like that all season. They made it to San Francisco with a negative yards per play differential this year. The Packers went 6-2 on the road this season, but were out-gained by 34 yards per game in those contests.

If you’re looking to lay the points with San Francisco this week, I’d be a little concerned with how their offense finished the game last week against Minnesota. Kyle Shanahan deserves a ton of credit for the offenses that he built in Atlanta and San Francisco, but there are still questions about how his teams finish games (cough, Falcons 28-3, cough).

The 49ers took a 24-10 lead with 4:54 left in the third quarter last week against the Vikings. They only gained one first down over their final five possessions. They got away with it against Kirk Cousins. You might not get away with it against Aaron Rodgers.

A few trends, courtesy of Don Best: The 49ers are 7-19-1 against the spread in their last 27 games as a favorite, and 2-7 against the spread following a straight-up win of more than 14 points. San Francisco was 0-4 against the spread when laying more than a touchdown this season.

San Francisco vs. Green Bay Preview and Pick

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