Futures Odds to win the 2016 Presidential Election: Clinton remains frontrunner

Democratic candidate for the next U.S. presidency, Hillary Clinton, continues to be the dominating force counting down to election day in November. The United States presidential election of 2016 will be the 58th quadrennial presidential election and is scheduled for Tuesday, November 8, 2016.

Flashback to nearly one-year ago when CNN Politics reported that, “Hillary Clinton continues to be a dominant force heading into the 2016 presidential election” according to at that time, a new CNN/ORC poll. “The former secretary of state maintains a broad lead over the field of potential Democratic challengers she could face in a nomination contest and sizable advantages over the leading contenders from the Republican side in general election match-ups.”

CNN also reported that “Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush tops the possible field for the Republican Party’s nomination race, followed by Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and former neurosurgeon Ben Carson all in a tight cluster.”

The article published by Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling Director, did even mention Donald Trump.

Agiesta wrote, “none of the top candidates in this field gets within 10 points of Hillary Clinton in a series of hypothetical general election matchups. Rand Paul comes closest, with 43% saying they’d be more likely to back him while 54% choose Clinton. The two candidates who currently top the GOP field, Bush and Walker, match up equally against Clinton, with each carrying 40% to her 55%. Huckabee gets 41% to Clinton’s 55% and Carson has 40% to Clinton’s 56%.”

In the race for the Democratic presidential nomination last March Clinton held a nearly 50-point lead over Vice President Joe Biden, her closest competitor in the field, 62% to 15%. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren held the third spot on the Democratic side with 10%. No other potential candidate topped 5% last March.

The CNN report stated that “Democrats broadly believe the party’s chances to hold the White House in 2016 are strongest with Clinton; 68% say so, while 30% say the party would have a better shot with someone else leading the ticket.”

Reid J. Epstein and Peter Nicholas of the Wall Street Journal reported today that “Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton emerged from a weekend of voting as the clear leaders in the fight for their parties’ presidential nominations, with smoother potential paths to victory than seemed likely a few weeks ago.” The report went on to add that “Mr. Trump should continue to benefit from a splintered Republican field that allows him to rack up convention delegates elsewhere in the South. Meanwhile, Mrs. Clinton’s win in Nevada’s caucuses has helped dispel doubts about her candidacy just as it heads on to favorable turf in the South, where she always figured to be stronger than her competitor Senator Bernie Sanders. Both front-runners still face obstacles. Mr. Trump may soon be hit with more direct attacks, and, as the field winnows, a pair of winner-take-all primaries in March could allow a competitor to make up ground quickly. And Mrs. Clinton faces a rival who has a fervent base of support in some states that lie ahead, while she has lower levels of support than her campaign would like in some pockets of the Democratic electorate.”

The Wall Street Journal report projects that “Mr. Trump is expected to win Nevada’s Tuesday caucuses, and the state’s 30 delegates, and then 12 states vote on Super Tuesday, March 1. Seven of those states are Southern contests that are key to Sen. Ted Cruz’s path to victory. But Mr. Trump’s convincing victory in South Carolina has put the Texan’s proposition that he will be the choice of the region’s social conservatives on shaky ground.” Epstein and Nicholas also wrote that “Hillary Clinton’s victory in Nevada and Donald Trump’s win in South Carolina on Saturday establishes the two as the sure front-runners in the 2016 presidential race.”

None of the current Republican hopefuls are shy about their abilities and resumes, nor their chances. The WSJ article spoke with Ted Cruz and reported that “speaking to reporters here Sunday, Mr. Cruz predicted he would defeat Mr. Trump in a one-on-one matchup should the party choose him as the alternative to the businessman.

“Donald Trump has demonstrated that he has a relatively high floor of support, but he’s also got, I think, a ceiling,” Mr. Cruz told WSJ. “You’ve got nearly 70% of Republican primary voters that don’t believe Donald is the right person to represent our party in the general election against Hillary Clinton.”

Pinnacle Sports updated their Odds to win the 2016 Presidential General Election and they, too, statistically support Hillary Clinton.


Winner of 2016 US Presidential General Election provided by Pinnacle Sports.


Winner of 2016 US Presidential General Election?

Hillary Clinton
-130

Field(all other candidates)
+111

Winner of 2016 US Presidential General Election?
Donald Trump
+495

Field(all other candidates)
-620

2016 Republican Nominee will be?
Donald Trump
-108

Field(all other candidates)
-108

 

 

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