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In a rematch of last season’s semi-finals, Lazio and AC Milan will clash again this season in the same round. Lazio will play host in the first leg on Tuesday, and they have not been in very good form lately. They are coming off three consecutive losses in all competitions and also dropped out of the Europa League. AC Milan are in really great shape lately and have been firing in all cylinders.
Date/Time: 2-26-2019, 15:00 EST
Spread: Lazio +0.0
Total: 2.5 Goals
Lazio are coming into this match after a really tough loss on the road against Sevilla in the Europa League round of 32. Lazio had lost in the first leg at home by 1-0 and doubled their losses with another 0-2 in Sevilla. That was their third consecutive loss in all competitions. Lazio have been struggling lately, winning just two of their last eight matches in all competitions (2-5-1). Moreover, five of their last six matches had Under 2.5 Goals. Lazio needed the penalty shoot-out in order to overcome Inter Milan in the previous round of the Cup. They have played 17 home matches in all competitions so far and have been quite good (9-5-3). However, they have won just three of their last nine home matches in all competitions.
On the other hand, AC Milan do not have distractions from other competitions and are doing great lately. In their last match they destroyed Empoli by an emphatic 0-3 at home. That was their third consecutive win, as AC Milan are also undefeated in their last seven (5-0-2). Moreover, they have scored exactly three goals in each of their last three matches. In the previous round of the Cup they overcame Napoli by a solid 0-2 at home. AC Milan have not been very good on the road though. They have won just five of their 17 away matches in all competitions (5-4-8). And they have won just two of their last ten matches in all competitions (2-2-6).
This will be the second match between the two in this venue after a 1-1 draw earlier in the season. Moreover, the two teams also met in this very stage of the Cup last season. They exchanged a couple of goal-less draws before AC Milan won the shootout in this venue.
However, AC Milan have struggled to get results in this venue over the past decade (1-4-5). Even so, they scored in eight of those matches and this season they have been great. I will have to back the home team here though, as I find it almost impossible to lose four in a row.
Coppa Italia Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction: Lazio +0.0 (-120)
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