AC Milan will be looking to remain in the top-four spots of the Serie A after Saturday, when they will play host to Napoli. Napoli have been in great shape this season and are still sitting at the 2nd spot of the league table. AC Milan have not fared well against Napoli in recent years but will fight to get at least a point here.
Date/Time: 1-26-2019, 14:30 EST
Spread: AC Milan +0.5
Total: 2.5 Goals
AC Milan (9-4-7) are coming into this match after a solid 2-0 win on the road against Genoa, but were not very good in that match. After a goal-less first half they took the lead at the 72nd minute and sealed the deal with another goal at the 83rd for the final 2-0. That was just their second win in their last nine matches in all competitions but they have lost just once in their last five (2-1-2). AC Milan are now sitting at the 4th spot of the league table with 34 points, one ahead of Roma and six behind Inter Milan. AC Milan have been quite solid at home, losing just twice so far in the league (6-2-2), and have won three of their last five matches in all competitions there (3-1-1). They will come into this match without Biglia, Bonaventura, Caldara and Reina, while Zapata is still being listed as questionable to participate.
On the other hand, Napoli (15-3-2) were really great in their home match against Lazio last week, beating them by 1-2. They took the lead at the 34th minute and doubled that just three minutes later. Lazio did try to make a comeback with a goal at the 65th minute but Napoli held on to their lead. They have now won three in a row in all competitions and have won five of their last six. Napoli are still sitting at the 2nd spot of the league table with 47 points, seven ahead of Inter Milan but six behind Juventus. They have the 2nd best away record in the league (6-3-0) but have lost twice in their last three away matches in all competitions. They failed to score in both losses, but had scored at least twice in each of their previous four away matches. Napoli will be missing Hamsik here, while Chiriches is still being listed as questionable.
Napoli came back from two goals behind to eventually win by 2-3 at home in the first round and extended their undefeated streak against AC Milan to eight matches (6-0-2). Moreover, Napoli have lost just once to AC Milan in the last 15 matches in all competitions (9-1-5). Napoli have also been great in this venue in the past five years (3-1-3).
Both teams will fight for the win here, and while a draw would be great for Napoli, AC Milan will fight for all three points. Things can heat up fast between the two sides, so I will take the Over 2.5 Goals here.
Serie A AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals (-110)
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