Atalanta have been one of the surprise packages of the Serie A this season and are now up for another tough task. They will play host to AC Milan on Saturday, looking to extend their undefeated streak to nine matches in all competitions. AC Milan have also been in really good form lately and will also look to extend their own undefeated streak to six matches.
Date/Time: 2-16-2019, 14:30 EST
Spread: AC Milan +0.5
Total: 2.5 Goals
Atalanta (11-7-5) are coming into this match after a really hard battle at home against SPAL. Their opponents took the lead at the 8th minute but Atalanta eventually won by 1-2. That was their third consecutive win and they are undefeated in their last eight in all competitions (6-0-2). They have scored multiple goals on seven of those matches and kept four clean sheets in the process. Atalanta are now sitting at the 5th spot with 38 points, just as many as AS Roma and Lazio. All three teams are one point behind AC Milan. Atalanta have been quite competitive at home so far (5-3-3), where they have lost just once in their last eight matches in all competitions.
On the other hand, AC Milan (10-4-9) had a really easy job in their home match against Cagliari, beating them by 0-3. Their opponents scored an own goal and it was easy for AC Milan. AC Milan are now undefeated in their last eight matches in all competitions (4-0-4). More importantly, they have kept six clean sheets in that span. AC Milan are now sitting at the 4th spot of the league table with 39 points, four behind Inter Milan. They have been really hard to beat on the road so far (3-2-6) but have won just one of their last nine matches in all competitions (1-2-6). Only one of those matches featured Over 2.5 Goals though.
The two teams split the points in a 2-2 draw in Milan in the first round of the Serie A. That was the fourth draw in the last five between the two. Atalanta have been excellent in this match-up lately. They have lost just once in the last ten matches against AC Milan (4-1-5). They have also been solid in the last five years as hosts, losing just once to AC Milan (2-1-2).
Atalanta have been really great in this match-up in recent years and this season they have the best offense in the league. They have been firing in all cylinders and have been really strong at home. A draw here wouldn’t be bad for either team, but I will take the Over 2.5 Goals instead.
Serie A Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals (-120)
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