Serie A Napoli vs Torino Spread and Prediction

Napoli were sensational in the Europa League on Thursday but will now have to return to domestic duties. They will look to break a club record when they will play host to Torino on Sunday, looking for the sixth consecutive home win in the league. Torino have been really solid so far in the season and are looking to break into the top-six.

Date/Time: 2-17-2019, 14:30 EST

Spread: Torino +1.25

Total: 2.75 Goals

Napoli (16-3-4) are coming off a great performance on the road against Zurich in the Europa League. The two teams clashed in the first leg of the round of 32 in Switzerland. Napoli had scored all three goals before their opponents scored a consolation goal. Last week in the Serie A they played for a goal-less draw on the road against Fiorentina. Napoli have been in great form lately, losing just once in their last eight in all competitions (5-1-2). They are still sitting at the 2nd spot of the league table with 52 points. They are nine ahead of Inter Milan but still 14 points behind league leaders Juventus. Napoli have yet to be defeated at home so far in the league (10-0-2), winning each of their last seven in all competitions.

On the other hand, Torino (8-5-10) will surely be feeling lucky about the outcome of their last match. They hosted Udinese last week and took the lead at the 31st minute. But it was a really balanced match and their opponents missed a penalty kick at the 75th minute. Torino are now undefeated in their last three (2-0-1) and have lost just one of their last seven league matches (3-1-3). They are now sitting at the 8th spot of the league table with 34 points, four behind the 5th Atalanta. Torino have been really hard to beat on the road, as they just recently met their first loss (2-1-9). Their away matches rarely feature a lot of goals, with just four matches with Over 2.5 Goals.

Napoli won by an easy 3-1 on the road earlier in the season and are now undefeated in the last eight against Torino (6-0-2). Matches between the two sides have produced a ton of goals in recent years. Each of the last seven matches featured at least Over 2.5 Goals, and five of those had at least Over 3.5.

Napoli have been dominant at home against Torino in the past two decades (4-1-5). But they only kept two clean sheets in that span and only failed to score once. Torino have a great offensive duo in Belotti and Zaza and they can certainly cause trouble here. I will take the Over 2.75 Goals in a match that can easily explode.

Serie A Napoli vs Torino Prediction: Over 2.75 Goals (-115)

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