Let’s take a look at one of the most lop-sided match-ups in the Serie A the past years, the one between hosts Inter Milan and Sassuolo. Inter Milan are clearly the better team than the two, but for some reason it is Sassuolo who have been great in this match-up. The two teams are in opposite forms right now but the head-to-head history in this match-up is really interesting.
Date/Time: 1-19-2019, 14:30 EST
Spread: Inter Milan -1.25
Total: 2.75 Goals
Inter Milan (12-4-3) are coming into this match after a tremendous performance at home against Benevento in the Coppa Italia. Inter Milan scored two quick goals in the start of the match and ended up blasting their opponents by a massive 2-6. Prior to that they beat Empoli by 1-0 on the road and have now won three in a row, also remaining undefeated in six consecutive (4-0-2). They have kept three clean sheets and only conceded four goals in that span. Inter Milan are still sitting 3rd in the league table with 39 points, seven ahead of Lazio and five behind Napoli. They have also been really strong at home so far (7-1-1), where they have the best defense with just 4 conceded goals. Inter Milan also have a win and two more draws at home in the Champions League, where they have kept a total of six clean sheets in 13 matches in all competitions.
On the other hand, Sassuolo (6-6-7) had little to no chances in the Coppa Italia, as they were up against Napoli on the road. They actually fought really hard and it was a pretty balanced match between the two but Napoli scored once in each half and eliminated Sassuolo. In their previous match, Sassuolo met one of their biggest defeats of their history as they fell by 6-2 at home against Atalanta. They have now lost three in a row, scoring three goals in that span but conceding 11 in the process. Sassuolo are now sitting at the 11th spot of the league table with 25 points, 12 ahead of the relegation zone. They have been mediocre on the road so far in the season (3-4-2) where they have won two of their last seven (2-4-1).
Sassuolo have already recorded a win against Inter Milan this season, a 0-1 at home. They have now won each of the last four against Inter Milan, and eight of the last nine (8-1-0). This is incredible considering the difference in club size, strength and experience.
Sassuolo have also won in each of their last four trips in this venue, also keeping two clean sheets in that span. Inter Milan will surely want to get revenge for the consecutive slaps and might go the extra mile here. But I will not fall for it, I will alternatively go with the Under 2.75 Goals here.
Serie A Inter Milan vs Sassuolo Prediction: Under 2.75 Goals (-124)
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